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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

GEFS member E9 is like. a cracked out Feb 1973. No way no way.
 
GaWx said:
Make that colder than any run since I don't know when!

I think it is safe to say that we may no longer be in a warming trend.
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Larry this is the first GEFS run in quite a while to destroy the SE ridging by Christmas time.
 
Fwiw, the HP strength looks much more manageable and likely on tonight's 00z GEFS. Around 1040 or so, multiples of them.
 
Torchtember said:
Maps?
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The individual members are slow, but here is the mean:


okay1.png
 
lol the GFS control has a big part of the state with a foot or more of snow around Christmas

So the Euro from the other day has support :weenie:
 
Torchtember said:
Solid. Yeah I just saw E9 as well. Several members showing a big snow event down here. Can even make out the wedging in some those clown maps
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Well there are 3 members with substantial storms for us in SC. Like, bigger event type. I'm happy to see that, as it's been pretty boring lately. Leads me to believe that many of these members are definitely breaking the ridge down around or just after Christmas day.
 
All depends on the location of the rishe out west.

Don't hold on to this run though, still massive changes at H5 from 18z.
 
the Euro looks lost

60 degrees on Saturday here after 40s and rain Friday? Not happening

Everyone is torching Christmas Eve, front just now getting here :rolleyes:
 
Upper 60s and 70s for the SE on the Euro for Christmas Eve.
 
front blasts through here Christmas Eve Night and DFW struggles to stay above 30 all day Christmas Day

K then no precip though
 
Brent said:
front blasts through here Christmas Eve Night and DFW struggles to stay above 30 all day Christmas Day

K then no precip though
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It's trying by 186 for Texas, but idk.
 
the Euro just looks lost to me... it takes the initial cold air Friday here and retreats it back into Oklahoma

Makes no sense and makes me question the rest of the run lmao
 
Here comes some Wintry mess for at least Northern AL, MS, LA. Nice hit of Wintry for TN.
 
Well, we have some agreement between the GFS/Euro in regards to Christmas Evening into the day after. Some kind of precip will be rolling in without the cold too far behind. Now, what that means in the end, who knows.

The majority of the SE will likely be warm for Christmas Eve & Christmas though.
 
Brent said:
lol at 216 front still hasn't cleared Atlanta, the day after Christmas

just dry cold here so far yay
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The ice accumulation maps might be a tad frightening for the TN/MS/N. AL areas. I'm just going by surface based Ptype maps, currently though. Not quite sure how much precip is falling.. but it's lasting a bit.
 
Shawn said:
The ice accumulation maps might be a tad frightening for the TN/MS/N. AL areas. I'm just going by surface based Ptype maps, currently though. Not quite sure how much precip is falling.. but it's lasting a bit.
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got map?
 
Huntsville definitely icy over a half inch of QPF

Birmingham most of the precip is over before its cold enough

Atlanta doesn't make freezing on the Euro
 
Day 10 on 00z Euro got a few light showers in South Carolina could that be ice considering it is 32 degrees in most areas by then?
 
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