• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

sn10_acc.us_ma.png
 
Interesting, if you watch DT's latest video... he explains why a big snowstorm for MA and New England won't happen.. dude may be an ass, but his pattern recognition is second to none.
 
Gfs is all over the place, who knows what will happen. Really.
 
whamby said:
Interesting, if you watch DT's latest video... he explains why a big snowstorm for MA and New England won't happen.. dude may be an ass, but his pattern recognition is second to none.
Click to expand...
JB has been talking about this for over 2 weeks. DT is always behind him. Been listening to both for years. Both are interesting to listen to
 
Shawn said:
I'll be honest and let you know that CAD does not effect all the way down to ATL like it does the Carolinas and NE GA. With that said, the GFS temps are incorrect for all of us. Ignore the ptype maps, and that sounding. The Canadian makes more sense temperature wise.
Click to expand...

It really depends on the strength of the CAD. I brought up about January 2005 last night. We started off in the mid 30s with sleet and spent most of that event in the mid to upper 20s. However, even a weak CAD definitely affects the immediate Atlanta metro area. It doesn't always guarantee wintry precipitation here, but the likelihood is very high. It doesn't even have to be the Winter season, I can't count the number of times CAD has saved Atlanta's butt a lot in severe weather outbreaks also.

EDIT: I think the HP in the January 2005 ice storm was only in the 1020s or 1030. If we have a 1030 or higher HP anchored to our NE, it'll most likely get the job done down here. Anyone know a good website to find archived surface analysis maps from that month/year. It was an end of the month storm, I think around 28th-29th. I know it started on a Friday afternoon and went through all of Saturday.
 
Last edited:
That 10 day-ish system has been showing up fairly consistently on the GFS anyway! That looks like a classic 80s snowstorm for a good many people on the board!!
 
Weatherlover92 said:
It really depends on the strength of the CAD. I brought up about January 2005 last night. We started off in the mid 30s with sleet and spent most of that event in the mid to upper 20s. However, even a weak CAD definitely affects the immediate Atlanta metro area. It doesn't always guarantee wintry precipitation here, but the likelihood is very high. It doesn't even have to be the Winter season, I can't count the number of times CAD has saved Atlanta's butt a lot in severe weather outbreaks also.

EDIT: I think the HP in the January 2005 ice storm was only in the 1020s or 1030. If we have a 1030 or higher HP anchored to our NE, it'll most likely get the job done down here. Anyone know a good website to find archived surface analysis maps from that month/year. It was an end of the month storm, I think around 28th-29th. I know it started on a Friday afternoon and went through all of Saturday.
Click to expand...
this page has some maps, if you can make sense out of them... http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/20050119/
 
Yeah the eps has many amped warm waves which is why the mean went way down.

00z vs 12z yesterday
b0f712e801794d1981153b3356e46f5b.jpg
a69f2a5abe6acc06bde5c13107304b0d.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top