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Pattern December Dud 👀

Hi everyone, I am based in James City, NC and I am interested in discussing my local WX .

Warm day after a cold start to December, have a daily max of 74.4 °F today here, with an MTD 53.6/33.6 °F
Welcome aboard!
 
Even though a perfect scenario like some of those EC AI runs could obviously produce, the overall larger CONUS setup is pure garbage. No cold air source in the days preceding the possible trough and no snow cover anywhere remotely close. Warm ground, marginal temps = I honestly hope this isn't our shot.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-snow_depth-4696000.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t2m_f_anom_5day-4696000.png
 
This is just pure speculation but seems that models are generally showing the chance for a bigger storm system around 240-270 hours out but I don’t think this will be our best shot. Feel like the period starting around new years will be a legit couple weeks. If we don’t cash by mid January I will be concerned


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This is just pure speculation but seems that models are generally showing the chance for a bigger storm system around 240-270 hours out but I don’t think this will be our best shot. Feel like the period starting around new years will be a legit couple weeks. If we don’t cash by mid January I will be concerned


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I'm afraid we've entered can-kicking season.
 
Its December 10th winter hasn't even technically started. I'm a huge fan of December especially in my neck of the woods (foothills) our biggest storms have hit in December. But going off of climatology we've already went two years without a snowstorm. The odds are highly in our favor to break that snowless streak this year.
 
Agreed, like the idea something is lurking

Just feel like we’re on the verge of massive potential. It could be all for nothing but this year feels different. Seeing euro and gfs throwing out some fantasy runs is interesting. Hopefully ensembles start lighting up soon


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Yall know that country song, "I Loved Her First"? Well, the GFS may try to jump in the hopper with this big western ridge, but the Euro AI loved it first. LOL LOL

0PjcNbA.png
 
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