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Pattern December Dud 👀

Mitch West said:
I hope this model becomes useful & reliable. I get the hunch that it has a cold bias though.
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I just find it remotely interesting being that it is the new kid on the block with higher validation scores, and I thought it performed pretty well in the long range with sniffing out our recent cold period

Here are the last 4 runs of the Euro AI, 5-day average for Dec 18-23
JdaS1rj.gif



Here is the 00z Euro AI Ensemble Mean for Dec 20
MaCJNm6.png
 
griteater said:
I just find it remotely interesting being that it is the new kid on the block with higher validation scores, and I thought it performed pretty well in the long range with sniffing out our recent cold period

Here are the last 4 runs of the Euro AI, 5-day average for Dec 18-23
JdaS1rj.gif



Here is the 00z Euro AI Ensemble Mean for Dec 20
MaCJNm6.png
Click to expand...
Interesting that the AI is slowly backing the GOA bomb around D10 west while the overnight runs and now the 12z GFS were stronger farther E
 
SD said:
Interesting that the AI is slowly backing the GOA bomb around D10 west while the overnight runs and now the 12z GFS were stronger farther E
Click to expand...
Yeah the Euro AI and now today’s Euro want to make the jet active but amplified and wavy out west while other modeling wants to plow everything east in Super El Niño fashion / big GOAK low
 
ForsythSnow said:
We can't even get our torches right!

Now if we can get that trough further down out west and the ridge to spike we're in business.
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The last image in that gif has a pretty spikey ridge with energy undercutting. You get a legit NAO to pop and we're open for biz. Looks like some ridging in that area showing up, but I don't know if it's enough to help very much yet.
 
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