• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern December Dud šŸ‘€

1733807016194.png
1733807056488.png
1733807085732.png
Solid agreement here for at least a burst of wet snow Wednesday in the Blacksburg area. I havenā€™t really seen wet snow yet this winter which is a weird thing because most winters thatā€™s the first type of snow you see. Everything so far here has been dry NW flow/clipper action.
 
View attachment 155713
View attachment 155714
View attachment 155715
Solid agreement here for at least a burst of wet snow Wednesday in the Blacksburg area. I havenā€™t really seen wet snow yet this winter which is a weird thing because most winters thatā€™s the first type of snow you see. Everything so far here has been dry NW flow/clipper action.
I almost got NAMed too. HRRR does not look as impressed though. After this cold shot things look pretty bad through ChristmasšŸ’©
 
For Me, using this temp map and Im in its camp as well by the way.
Ill be giving this December an A or A+ when all is said an done. Gonna be Below Normal. Already a ground covering Snow. And right now,fingers crossed a stellar first half to January possibly on the way. Jury is still out on everything till it verefies. But where we sit at today, compared to my expectations a month ago. We are winning on the scoreboard for a change.
 
Meanwhile.. in the dead center of slight risk and 5% tornado chanceā€¦ whatā€™s the saying about thunder in winter.. snow in 10 days.. I expect to get paid in full!! Surprise šŸ˜µ severe weather potential.. so SuprisešŸ˜Š.. snow!!!ā„ļøšŸŒØļø
 
Hi everyone, I am based in James City, NC and I am interested in discussing my local WX .

Warm day after a cold start to December, have a daily max of 74.4 Ā°F today here, with an MTD 53.6/33.6 Ā°F
Welcome aboard!
 
Even though a perfect scenario like some of those EC AI runs could obviously produce, the overall larger CONUS setup is pure garbage. No cold air source in the days preceding the possible trough and no snow cover anywhere remotely close. Warm ground, marginal temps = I honestly hope this isn't our shot.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-snow_depth-4696000.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t2m_f_anom_5day-4696000.png
 
This is just pure speculation but seems that models are generally showing the chance for a bigger storm system around 240-270 hours out but I donā€™t think this will be our best shot. Feel like the period starting around new years will be a legit couple weeks. If we donā€™t cash by mid January I will be concerned


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
This is just pure speculation but seems that models are generally showing the chance for a bigger storm system around 240-270 hours out but I donā€™t think this will be our best shot. Feel like the period starting around new years will be a legit couple weeks. If we donā€™t cash by mid January I will be concerned


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I'm afraid we've entered can-kicking season.
 
Its December 10th winter hasn't even technically started. I'm a huge fan of December especially in my neck of the woods (foothills) our biggest storms have hit in December. But going off of climatology we've already went two years without a snowstorm. The odds are highly in our favor to break that snowless streak this year.
 
Agreed, like the idea something is lurking

Just feel like weā€™re on the verge of massive potential. It could be all for nothing but this year feels different. Seeing euro and gfs throwing out some fantasy runs is interesting. Hopefully ensembles start lighting up soon


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Yall know that country song, "I Loved Her First"? Well, the GFS may try to jump in the hopper with this big western ridge, but the Euro AI loved it first. LOL LOL

0PjcNbA.png
 
Back
Top