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Pattern December Discussion

It might be more helpful and less stressful if some would learn to look at the 500mb to get a better understanding of where the PATTERN may be headed...


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ATLWxFan link said:
How many more runs till the GFS goes to ----?


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I feel like theres always one in the corner just waiting for a bad model run,to jump on.it irretates me how ppl can be so Negative about things.
 
Brick Tamland link said:
[quote author=ATLWxFan link=topic=2.msg3039#msg3039 date=1482413752]
How many more runs till the GFS goes to ----?


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[/quote] lol
 
whatalife link said:
It might be more helpful and less stressful if some would learn to look at the 500mb to get a better understanding of where the PATTERN may be headed...


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this for 1000 bob. It's far more helpful looking at H5 vs the surface . example: most of the time the gfs spits things out at the surface in the LR  that don't even make sense given its H5 look .

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One man's realism is another man's pessimism. But hey we all want the goods.


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ATLWxFan link said:
Oh my! Rejoice!!!
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How's that Asian snowcover working out??
 
ATLWxFan link said:
Oh my! Rejoice!!!
92889d8edd90fa7f11835218305d7227.jpg



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I really need to reach out to Judah and see if he will come sell some fireworks for me this NYE...the way he sells a southern snow storm has to translate well to everyday retail in sales ;D
 
After all his incessant chest beating of late, JB sure gone quiet about mentioning this supposed warm spell in early January... He's probably starting to realize that Siberian air will be sitting over the Canadian Rockies, Alaska, & @ least the northwestern tier of the US during the first week of the month. The question still remains whether or not the Alaskan/GOA ridge will be strong & close enough to the Rockies to advect the arctic air into the southeastern US. The trends of late in the guidance have been in favor of this solution, but again this is a very fickle pattern & even a minor detail in the ACWB event in the North Pacific will mean the difference between more mild wx & an arctic assault in the SE US, so we'll have to see...
 
bigstick10 link said:
[quote author=accu35 link=topic=2.msg3042#msg3042 date=1482414373]
I feel like theres always one in the corner just waiting for a bad model run,to jump on.it irretates me how ppl can be so Negative about things.

Spell check man...LOL  Well, it is hard not to be somewhat pessimistic when you look at the models depicting no real cold air around for another month!!!  Look at your buddy James Spann video this morning.
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no cold around for a month lol....ok

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ATLWxFan link said:
70 on Christmas Day... yeah that might qualify as Torchmas.


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Sucks to be you!
12z GFS looked like an ok pattern near the end, of course, but I'll take it!
 
SoutheastRidge link said:
James Spann says there is the possibility of the cold returning by the end of Jan/early Feb.
there is also a possibility that he might get a winter forecast right at some point

Sounds like he is in the bathtub with JB . Lost and confused

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Webberweather53 link said:
After all his incessant chest beating of late, JB sure gone quiet about mentioning this supposed warm spell in early January... He's probably starting to realize that Siberian air will be sitting over the Canadian Rockies, Alaska, & @ least the northwestern tier of the US during the first week of the month. The question still remains whether or not the Alaskan/GOA ridge will be strong & close enough to the Rockies to advect the arctic air into the southeastern US. The trends of late in the guidance have been in favor of this solution, but again this is a very fickle pattern & even a minor detail in the ACWB event in the North Pacific will mean the difference between more mild wx & an arctic assault in the SE US, so we'll have to see...
he is still hell bent on the warmth. seeing him go after Cohen on twitter every single time he posts something is pathetic .

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CMC has an absolute perfect storm track and a decent high sliding east with it at day 10
 
Considering that every cold day for me has been cold, damp, and gray, I kinda wouldn't mind a break from it for now. Looks like the last week of December will be above average temperature wise but a switch might be flipped after that.
 
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