Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance

[SD]

Have at it

 

[Webberweather53]

Absurd levels of uncertainty with this setup.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Absurd levels of uncertainty with this setup.

That's wild. We are almost in range for short range models and there's still this much uncertainty. Crazy

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Potential

 

[Webberweather53]

That's wild. We are almost in range for short range models and there's still this much uncertainty. Crazy

yeah it still feels like we're at day 7-8 right now.

 

[Webberweather53]

Potential View attachment 54694

If we can get some pieces of that upper low to come out at the right time & shear across into that Lakes trough, woof.

 

[superjames1992]

That's wild. We are almost in range for short range models and there's still this much uncertainty. Crazy

You can be certain that the uncertainties will work against us.

Hope for the best, expect the worst!

 

[SD]

To avoid anyone missing out on monthly threads going forward we will let the members name the monthly thread but the thread will be made by someone on staff so it is visible to all.

Thanks!

 

[Arcc]

Shades of 2017? Hmmm.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Don’t go on twitter after this euro run, NE weenies about to be out in full force

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Another piece of energy swinging down

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s literally so close, don’t know what else to say, except that’s a lot of energy

 

[AJ1013]

It’s literally so close, don’t know what else to say, except that’s a lot of energy View attachment 54699

Sorry if this is a dumb question but what exactly are we looking for here? Do we want that circulation in the midwest to phase with the vortex off the coast? For cool weather here I need that circulation of the coast to position itself a little further west.

 

[Rain Cold]

Sorry if this is a dumb question but what exactly are we looking for here? Do we want that circulation in the midwest to phase with the vortex off the coast? For cool weather here I need that circulation of the coast to position itself a little further west.

We're looking to find some cold air somewhere, IMO. Unless you're 1000 feet tall, it doesn't look like it will be easy to see a lot of snow.

 

[Webberweather53]

Lmao a clipper dives down towards Florida.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Sorry if this is a dumb question but what exactly are we looking for here? Do we want that circulation in the midwest to phase with the vortex off the coast? For cool weather here I need that circulation of the coast to position itself a little further west.

Yeah first off we want this UL trough around the GL to be further west so maybe it can drag some Energy from the SW ULL with it, and it could have a favorable tilt for areas around NC/SC (want it do dig towards OK/KS), and for that other piece of energy it would be hard given that UL trough off the coast would likely suppress it

 

[Webberweather53]

Nice Miller B look here synoptically. If this model run continued beyond 240 hr, we'd likely see a legit -NAO develop due to the negatively tilted trough over New England.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Nice Miller B look here synoptically. If this model run continued beyond 240 hr, we'd likely see a legit -NAO develop due to the negatively tilted trough over New England.

View attachment 54706

So basically this euro run was extremely close through the entire run synoptically, lol

 

[AJ1013]

Lmao a clipper dives down towards Florida.

View attachment 54704

Clipper diving towards Florida sounds spectacular lol. Would drag down some nice cool air for me

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If you see the KMA showing something interesting stick a fork in it