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Stormsfury
Member
00z Nam 84 have a piece of energy coming from down the Rockies and is very amp could spark something!! ummmm
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
It's 60 hours out so getting into la la land for the NAM's standards but this is a mammoth shortwave that breaks off the GOA gyre & is about to crash into the Pacific NW
That could spark something maybe in the future right?
Going to make a storm for someone in most likelihood. Doesn't dig enough on the NAM for a deep south hit, from what I see.
I could see that
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
No idea, not sure how reliable the NAM is in this case (likely not much), here's the Euro's depiction of this same shortwave, it holds it back over the Northeast Pacific longer and later slams it into British Columbia which pretty much annihilates the s/w. There's a nice Rex Block over Alaska so this is a pretty fickle setup in general but I wouldn't bank on anything until other models show this &/or if the NAM actually remains consistent and keeps plowing the s/w into the Pacific NW
GeorgiaGirl
Member
....that might actually be the energy for New Year's Day and if I'm not mistaken (I feel exhausted though) it's closer to being in a good spot for a storm to spark up. The bad news is it might be too early and end up too amped, but why I'm extrapolating the 84 hour NAM, I really have no clue.
If the rest of the 0z suite isn't different, I think we can call it outside of the SC lowlands and south Georgia.
If the rest of the 0z suite isn't different, I think we can call it outside of the SC lowlands and south Georgia.
Euro has a bias of holding energy back in the SE too long. Maybe in the NW too?
carolinachaos
Member
How far North and Inland does this get, I keep seeing Sav to CHS how about Further up I-95 towards Florence?
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Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk
RollTide18
Member
NAM inside 48 hrs is good
Xtreme Weather
Member
Most if not all IP or ZR edit cut the amounts by about 75%
RGEM thru 30hr has simular look so far fwiw
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JtSmarts
Member
GFS is running, will it put us out of our misery or "keep us hanging on"?
Snowflowxxl
Member
Gfs and cmc are about to put the nail in the coffin for most of us
Xtreme Weather
Member
RGEM thermo suggest razor thin line for IP/ZR vs snow on northern edge of precip shield
EastAtlwx
Meteorologist
This doesn’t depict precipitation type, only the rate.
Xtreme Weather
Member
This close I would take the short term meso models vs long range ones jmho
Xtreme Weather
Member
I know why I looked at the thermos before saying what I did about wintry precip
tractor girl
Member
This first storm is all but not happening for N GA. I'm gonna enjoy the cold weather a bit and look for something in early Jan.
