Very possible… but this will be with bright sunshine. One thing is we may be cursing the wind Friday afternoon but it being up will likely save a lot of places from dropping in the 0-5 degree range Friday night
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Wintry December 23-26 2022 Winter Weather and Cold
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
SimeonNC
Member
The NWS has my area with a "wintry mix" Friday morning lol.
I’ll tell you what we’re focused on the 27-28 storm a lot but don’t sleep on this tiny little piece of energy infront if it on the 26th .. could end up being nothing but there may end up being just enough forcing to spit out some snow flakes for some lucky individuals. It’s been looking interesting past few runs. 
That’s a lot of QPF for 15:1 ratios! ??? 18z GFS
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I mean does it really matter what the actual temp is on Fri night ? The wind chills will make it feel brutally cold.
Fountainguy97
Member
TN folks are riding and dying with the GFS for Friday. 
GFS/NAM/RGEM all showing that backside end of clipper providing a nice little band of snow showers it's slowly been ranging upward. I guess can watch over next day or so for how this further develops it ain't gonna be enough to build a snowman but people may get a little pretty dusting or so Christmas weekend
PS... for GA maybe some in N.AL and TN got a chance for a little more
PS... for GA maybe some in N.AL and TN got a chance for a little more
We just need more cold air wow ??
One thing I see is if not snow, you have a major ice problem across MS, AL and GA should precip make its way northward.
The GFS definitely has a handle on the ridge over Greenland.
Yep, nice block in a good spot, also nice vortex location over Hudson Bay. You gotta like this look, and why I’m more confident we may see improvements in modeling for next week.
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Some backend snowfall on the 12z MMFS.
Interesting tidbit from FFC about tomorrow night/Thursday.
000
FXUS62 KFFC 202001
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
301 PM EST Tue Dec 20 2022
...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 254 PM EST Tue Dec 20 2022
An upper disturbance will continue to move east in the flow this
evening and finally offshore overnight. The zonal flow aloft will
continue through the day tomorrow, but begin to shift to the SW
tomorrow night. At the surface, a weak low pressure wave off the
NE FL coast will meander off the SE coast while a ridge axis
remains situated from the Mid Atlantic states down the spine of
the Appalachians (a wedge).
The precipitation associated with the shortwave should taper off from
west to east this evening for most locales. A brief dry period is
anticipated Wednesday, although we will continue to be wedged.
Precip on the backside of the low off the SE coast should begin to
spread onshore and into the wedge tomorrow evening/overnight. Right
now, temps look to remain in the middle to upper 30s, but the models
may not be handling dewpoints upstream in the wedge very well -
especially at precip onset. The weak low pressure offshore may end
up reinforcing the wedge and bringing those mid/upper 20s dews
further SW. Will have to watch P-Type closely.
Have bumped MaxT`s down a degree or two within the wedge tomorrow.
NListemaa
forecast.weather.gov
000
FXUS62 KFFC 202001
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
301 PM EST Tue Dec 20 2022
...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 254 PM EST Tue Dec 20 2022
An upper disturbance will continue to move east in the flow this
evening and finally offshore overnight. The zonal flow aloft will
continue through the day tomorrow, but begin to shift to the SW
tomorrow night. At the surface, a weak low pressure wave off the
NE FL coast will meander off the SE coast while a ridge axis
remains situated from the Mid Atlantic states down the spine of
the Appalachians (a wedge).
The precipitation associated with the shortwave should taper off from
west to east this evening for most locales. A brief dry period is
anticipated Wednesday, although we will continue to be wedged.
Precip on the backside of the low off the SE coast should begin to
spread onshore and into the wedge tomorrow evening/overnight. Right
now, temps look to remain in the middle to upper 30s, but the models
may not be handling dewpoints upstream in the wedge very well -
especially at precip onset. The weak low pressure offshore may end
up reinforcing the wedge and bringing those mid/upper 20s dews
further SW. Will have to watch P-Type closely.
Have bumped MaxT`s down a degree or two within the wedge tomorrow.
NListemaa
National Weather Service
forecast.weather.gov
SWVAwxfan
Member
What's even more incredible is this is at 1 in the afternoon. My area showing 4 degrees on this model.Man, this is something else...
Lord have mercy..
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
The next (18z) MMFS run will have a 4km southeastern regional nest with a 1km local nest over NGA and NAL, to focus in on the cold front and possible backend precip.
Appreciate all your work with this.
I'm thinking some of this is overdone