whatalife
Moderator
Let’s see how things play out with a possible -NAO showing up on the models.
I can see the nao going pretty negative later in December with also a mjo in better phasesLet’s see how things play out with a possible -NAO showing up on the models.
Still see December above average tempsAs Tracking season begins for the always elusive southern snowflake, not much to report on this morning. Seasonal temps and lots of rain showers every few days appear to be on the menu as we start off. We aint and dont appear to be heading for a torching, so theres the silver lining.
You're doing it again.Not to be that guy but he’s not lying ^. First week of December looks pretty AN, due to the initial dump out west, first week averaged out for the Carolina’s is 6-10F AN, which is in a ballpark of a torch. I suspect week 2 looks much cooler as the pacific trough drops energy further west and encourages a shallow in nature western ridge View attachment 138193
That's interesting to be that warm with a -nao retrograting from east based to west based?Not to be that guy but he’s not lying ^. First week of December looks pretty AN, due to the initial dump out west, first week averaged out for the Carolina’s is 6-10F AN, which is in a ballpark of a torch. I suspect week 2 looks much cooler as the pacific trough drops energy further west and encourages a shallow in nature western ridge View attachment 138193
Hold your horses , it be later in the months into January we get the goodsThat's interesting to be that warm with a -nao retrograting from east based to west based?
Not reallyThat's interesting to be that warm with a -nao retrograting from east based to west based?
Yes but we’re headed to a +EPO and a short-lived -PNA and usually you do see a torch with that. -NAO doesn’t do good if the continent is filled with pacific mild air. But like fro said it’s likely lasts for a week. Also that block looks to last a good while.That's interesting to be that warm with a -nao retrograting from east based to west based?
Yea it will be AN. Question is by how much. 1 degree or 10+. Im never a fan of strong el ninos. Of course after last year, anything has to have a better chance than thay year 3 La nina nightmare. Hope the winter proves me wrongStill see December above average temps
It's been that way all day in Birmingham today. Radar was not showing light rain but it light rained most of the day.Nice cold rain has popped up out of nowhere, to the dismay of the nws and future Radar