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Pattern December 2023

I can't see the individual members, but there's been some noise at the end of the EPS and recent GEFS runs:

sn10_acc-mean-imp.us_ma.png
 
Most recent White Christmas spatial map for NC.

Some areas along the US HWY 1 corridor and towards the Triangle area have been waiting nearly a century for one.

2010 was close but no cigar for most areas SE of I-85



View attachment 138658
Christmas 2010 was so dissapointing. I missed it by fifteen miles.
 
It was the closest margin I’d seen between the haves and have nots since March 93. It was snowing in Cherryville and raining in Belmont.
The changeover actually got here around 8pm that evening and we had about a half inch by 10:30pm… we actually let the kids go outside and play so that they could say they got to play in the snow on Christmas. A few hours later, I got in on the deformation band as the coastal low was really starting to fire up and had another 5” between 4am and 8am then just a steady light snow the rest of the day.
 
Idk if it will work out, but I’d much rather have a semi warm December and a fun January/Feb than have a freezing cold December and straight Jan/Feb. Although there’s a possibility they could all be trash.

January is looking like December lite.


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Greensboro is now only +2 for December, may get under that by tommorow after today gets tallied in or latter next week.
 
Hoping for crumbs:

RAH:
A cold front will push SE through the area Monday evening. At the
same time, a potent clipper like upper PV anomaly diving SE thru the
region may provide it`s own sufficient fleeting saturation by means
of strong dynamical lifting to support some scattered rain showers,
and perhaps even some flurries or a quick passing snow shower if the
snowflake can overcome a dry sub cloud layer. Lows 25-30.

6z NAM:
1702732234183.png
 
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