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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

ontherocks said:
Where do you imagine we are time wise with this? I guess I mean, which model seems to be matching best with where we are wedge wise so far?
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Latest HRRR seems to bring the sleet in here about 5 or 6 hours from now, so close to midnight. The rates then could really pile the sleet up or it could mostly melt in due to the rain. That is unless we go below freezing and get a block of ice in the ground.
 
MBell said:
Interesting. I've had a steady E to ENE wind for the last several hours.. several gusts to 20-25 last hour as well and seems to be increasing. Finally down to 38.6 after sitting at 40 much of the day.
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Same here, I had a high gust of 20mph so far at 3:30pm but my anemometer isn't high enough, but it's been E/NE all day. 37.2 now. Creeping down every so slightly.
 
MBell said:
Interesting. I've had a steady E to ENE wind for the last several hours.. several gusts to 20-25 last hour as well and seems to be increasing. Finally down to 38.6 after sitting at 40 much of the day.
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You’re ever so slightly north of me, but a solid 20 miles to the west according to your profile


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
 
ForsythSnow said:
Latest HRRR seems to bring the sleet in here about 5 or 6 hours from now, so close to midnight. The rates then could really pile the sleet up or it could mostly melt in due to the rain. That is unless we go below freezing and get a block of ice in the ground.
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Honestly, I really don't want sleet because as wet as the ground is, especially with marginal temps, the sleet would likely melt. I want zr just to see a nice coating in the trees.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Latest HRRR seems to bring the sleet in here about 5 or 6 hours from now, so close to midnight. The rates then could really pile the sleet up or it could mostly melt in due to the rain. That is unless we go below freezing and get a block of ice in the ground.
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hard for the sleet to freeze to the ground when its landing on puddles !
 
Would this be more of a snow sounding due to heavy rates ?
 

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SimeonNC said:
I feel so stupid for freaking out about surface temps now lol
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lol It's understandable, I kinda felt that way in the December 2017 storm, nervously and anxiously waiting for that temperature drop and changeover to happen. It was well worth the wait to get that 5 inches of snow on the backend.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Probably not accumulate on the roadways so much. I was mainly thinking just wet surfaces and not ditches or large puddles. We aren't in a lake.
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I would think that unless rates are extremely heavy, you are going to have to get well below freezing to have major sleet accumulations.
 
Major ZR/IP/SN >2" ATL (since 1940 for ZR; since 1952 for SN and IP): 41 total


Resultant winds during precip.:


Avg Direction # storms

E 23 (most of these mainly ZR or IP)

NE 8 (all mainly SN)

N 3 (all mainly SN)

NW 6 (all mainly SN

W 1 (mainly SN)

- All 18 ZR's and 3 IP's had E winds. That is consistent with E winds generally being associated with efficient wintry precip. producers at ATL.
 
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