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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

doesn't the direction matter? I don't see any winds on soundings that look like they would be driving warmth into our area. no winds out of the south that I can find.
The WPC discussion yesterday mentioned that the winds would be out of the east and the warming aloft would not be as strong as some of our prior storms.
 
The HRRR can be pretty bad beyond 10-12 hours, I'm gonna wait until later this evening before taking it too seriously, one only has to look upstream w/ how it did in Oklahoma (being the last of the models to cling onto a significant winter storm in OKC before finally caving) to see some red flags.
Yes, the hrrr is horrible at those ranges. I’m all for it showing snow, but I don’t expect it is right.
 
It looks like the NWS for Middle Tennessee and especially north Middle Tennessee think we could see more snow then initially forecasted. They were calling for a dusting to an inch north of Nashville but I’m now seeing up to 2 inches possibly.

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I don't see anybody reporting from Forsyth Co, GA, which looks to be a possible demarcation zone between little to no zr and possibly a good bit. Here 5 miles NW of Cumming it's currently a rainy mess at 38.4. Winds gusting to near 20mph from the NE. Bring on the wedge!
I was in dawson county earlier and it was all rain just as it is here now. This was an hour ago.
 
Yes, the hrrr is horrible at those ranges. I’m all for it showing snow, but I don’t expect it is right.
yeah. I’m getting more and more confident in 1” of sleet and a glaze on trees by tomorrow night for me and Mack
 
At least for now. Later in the event there could be if there is some here as well. Could definitely as the cold is coming down slowly.
Sorry, yeah that's what I meant. For now, till the wedge starts to do its dirty work and hopefully brings us to AOB freezing.
 
Jimmy, why do we always fall for this crap! Cold rain special coming, it’s a mind numbing 39.4 degrees now! Just screams record setting snow and sleet storm! :(
 
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