Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[scroback]

I don't get it, CAD seems to be working in nicely but the surface temps in CLT at least seem to be torching. Im guessing its due to the UHI, which I hope won't be a factor or at least a big factor.

I don't think the CAD has gotten to Charlotte. The dewpoint gradient is still to the north. Tbh, the CAD hasn't made much of a progression at all recently, needs a re-enforcing push, the high hasn't quite built in yet

EDIT: I see the pressure field suggests it's into SC, but I suppose the core of the dry air is lagging behind

 

[BirdManDoomW]

So not based on anything except Alan Hufmans post of the RGEM....lol...got it!

My worry started from the NAM and general climo of the area. It’s extremely hard to limit a warm nose with such a wet storm system. Also, it rarely underperforms which I took in consideration.

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Some of the sfc temps are warm, but don't worry. Once that frozen precip starts falling in the upper levels, it will supercool the air that will eventually sink down to the sfc. Upstate SC friends, that process is happening now. NE GA, the 850mb temps are still dropping over that area as well. Be on the lookout for the mix.

Atlanta met said radar is picking up on melting snow between Gainesville and Atlanta. Gotta be a good sign

 

[Brick Tamland]

 

[EastAtlwx]

I’m pretty nervous tbh the 0C 850 line has only moved slowly north in the past couple of hours over southeastern NC.. very concerning.. I’ll probably have to move east like I’ve wanted to this whole time. Stuck in a rain/snow mix for the past hour while locations a county east reporting snow where 0c line dips down

 

[Jessy89]

Some of the sfc temps are warm, but don't worry. Once that frozen precip starts falling in the upper levels, it will supercool the air that will eventually sink down to the sfc. Upstate SC friends, that process is happening now. NE GA, the 850mb temps are still dropping over that area as well. Be on the lookout for the mix.

I’m in liberty north of 85 in upstate sc. it’s just a 40 degrees cold rain temp hasn’t dropped at all.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Charlotte is sitting at 45 and their forecast high is 41. In a storm where every degree is important, this cant be good can it?

 

[SimeonNC]

I’m pretty nervous tbh the 0C 850 line has only moved slowly north in the past couple of hours over southeastern NC.. very concerning.. I’ll probably have to move east like I’ve wanted to this whole time. Stuck in a rain/snow mix for the past hour while locations a county east reporting snow where 0c line dips down

You noticed it too? I thought I was just seeing things.

 

[Rain Cold]

Charlotte is sitting at 45 and their forecast high is 41. In a storm where every degree is important, this cant be good can it?

Temps always bust high the day before an impending storm. It’s one of the rules.

 

[ontherocks]

I’m in liberty north of 85 in upstate sc. it’s just a 40 degrees cold rain temp hasn’t dropped at all.

From my understanding, the CAD hasn’t set it yet here in NEGA and the upstate, waiting for that H to get in place....

 

[WEATHERBOYROY]

Wumdermaps radar (https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap ) shows clearly the wedge is doing its job already. Rain starting to mis with snow down into extreme Ne Ga just west of Anderson SC. Also the live windstream is fun to look at with the wedge beginning to get it's act together.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Temps always bust high the day before an impending storm. It’s one of the rules.

Yep at that balloon sounding from UNC Asheville is not good.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

To my south in concord, dews are in the 20s.....

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Y’all will be fine, just have to relax

 

[Stump]

Looking like this may be a bust again for much of the I95 to west of Raleigh. Looks like the people profiles are trending way too warm?

 

[Forevertothee]

To compare with Concord. Clearly CAD is working in to the NE.

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[LovingGulfLows]

Y’all will be fine, just have to relax

People have too high of expectations after a week of ridiculous clown maps.

 

[Showmeyourtds]

I’m pretty nervous tbh the 0C 850 line has only moved slowly north in the past couple of hours over southeastern NC.. very concerning.. I’ll probably have to move east like I’ve wanted to this whole time. Stuck in a rain/snow mix for the past hour while locations a county east reporting snow where 0c line dips down

You’re seeing a R/S mix in Conyers?


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[Myfrotho704_]

the hrrr yesterday WAS right with higher temps

 

[Fountainguy97]

these temps in the mid 40s were always well predicted by models. HRRR clearly has many areas in the 43-45 range. Temps dive tonight with arrival of heavy precip. That was always the forecast