Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[Stormdoc]

Thank you Rain Cold for keeping me so grounded and always reminding us how our backyards won’t be snowed on. Such a blessing.

 

[Snownut]

Model watching is over, its Nowcast time

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[RollTide18]

Model watching is over, its Nowcast time

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I'm still wishcasting.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Am getting worried about ice here north of clt, if the warm nose is strong enough, there will be zr and temps here will be between 27-30

 

[Snownut]

I'm still wishcasting.

You know nobody does that here

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[Myfrotho704_]

Just as someone said on the other board, skies have cleared here allowing for rapidly dropping temps from RC

 

[Rain Cold]

Thank you Rain Cold for keeping me so grounded and always reminding us how our backyards won’t be snowed on. Such a blessing.

No problemo. But we can definitely get snow here. It just needs to be the right setup.

 

[BHS1975]

No problemo. But we can definitely get snow here. It just needs to be the right setup.

Yeah like January when it’s colder.


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[Rain Cold]

Yeah like January when it’s colder.


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Yeah, one of the hallmarks I look for for a good snow here is a good supply of cold air. And a low track off the coast...not along it or over the sounds. Big red flags there.

 

[CyclonicFury]

Yeah like January when it’s colder.


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The fact that we are talking about a chance of measurable snow in early December is unusual. Only five times since reliable records began in 1945 has RDU seen at least three inches of snow in December, and only twice have we seen six inches.

I think this system may be a harbinger of a year with multiple winter weather threats with this cool, wet pattern due to El Niño.

 

[BHS1975]

Yeah back to back storms on the models.


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[SimeonNC]

Honestly, I could see the FV3 being right for the Foothills, NW Piedmont.

 

[SimeonNC]

I know it is instinct to hug the models that have the least winter precip but I wouldn't totally discount the FV3

 

[Rain Cold]

The fact that we are talking about a chance of measurable snow in early December is unusual. Only five times since reliable records began in 1945 has RDU seen at least three inches of snow in December, and only twice have we seen six inches.

I think this system may be a harbinger of a year with multiple winter weather threats with this cool, wet pattern due to El Niño.

Totally agree. Good post!

 

[BHS1975]

Definitely going to be building a massive snowpack up north.


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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I’m right on the fringe of core snowfall and a big dud. History repeats itself. Me and Mack get a coating of sleet on the backend. Sh** man 10 days of tracking for what? For climo smfh

 

[BHS1975]

I heard the 18z euro came in colder on the other forum.


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[Snowfan]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
743 PM EST Fri Dec 7 2018


GAZ006-007-013-014-022>025-027-034>038-047-081200-
/O.EXA.KFFC.WS.A.0001.181209T0600Z-181210T0600Z/
Fannin-Gilmer-Pickens-Dawson-Forsyth-Hall-Banks-Jackson-Madison-
Gwinnett-Barrow-Clarke-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Walton-
Including the cities of Blue Ridge, Cohutta Wilderness, Colwell,
Dial, Epworth, Hemp, Higdon, Black Gap Shelter, Cartecay,
Cherry Log, East Ellijay, Ellijay, Marion, Mountaintown, Blaine,
Hinton, Jasper, Lake Tamarack, Marblehill, Nelson, Sequoyah Lake,
Amicalola Falls State Park, Dawsonville, Dougherty, Fausett Lake,
Juno, Len Foote Hike Inn, Lumpkin, Brookwood, Chestatee,
Coal Mountain, Cumming, Drew, Ducktown, Hightower, Gainesville,
Alto, Banks Crossing, Five Points, Hollingsworth, Homer,
Pinefield Crossroads, Apple Valley, Arcade, Bear Creek Reservoir,
Braselton, Center, Commerce, Hoschton, Carlton, Colbert, Comer,
Danielsville, Diamond Hill, Harrison, Hull, Lawrenceville,
Auburn, Bethlehem, Carl, Chateau Elan, County Line,
Fort Yargo State Park, Russell, Athens, Barnett Shoals, Bishop,
Bogart, Eastville, Farmington, North High Shoals, Rose Hill,
Arnoldsville, Crawford, Dunlap, Hutchings, Lexington, Maxeys,
Philomath, Between, Bold Springs, Campton, Ebenezer, Good Hope,
Gratis, and Herndonville
743 PM EST Fri Dec 7 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Possible freezing rain up to 1/4 inch in a zone east and
north of a line from Cumming to Norcross to Monroe to Lexington,
mainly north of the I-20 corridor. Higher amounts in this area
cannot be ruled out as well. A mix of snow, sleet and freezing
rain for the northeast mountains mainly north and east of a line
from Ellijay to Jasper to Dawsonville. Total snow accumulations
of 1 to 2 inches, with up to 5 inches possible on the highest
ridges and possible ice accumulations of up to 1/4 inch. Wind
gusts of 35 to 40 mph are expected as well across the watch area.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast Georgia.

* WHEN...Saturday night through Sunday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Hazardous driving conditions expected as
snow and ice accumulate, especially over bridges and overpasses.
Increasing winds Saturday night into Sunday would bring down ice coated
trees and powerlines.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant
snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue
to monitor the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

 

[NoSnowATL]

So I’m under a flood watch and winter storm watch? Check this off my weather bucket list.

 

[bud006]

FFC just put my county into the Winter Storm Watch. 1/4" of freezing rain + 30-40 mph winds (oh, and let's not forget the frog-strangling rain tomorrow) ... looks like it just might get interesting here after all.

Everybody, please stay safe, and thank you for all the outstanding information sharing this week.

--30--