Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[snowlover91]

Guys, I recommend looking at the Kuchera map and NOT the Tidbits one. It includes sleet/zr in the "snowfall" accumulations and is not an accurate portrayal of what the NAM shows. The Kuchera map below shows a good rough estimate that matches soundings quite well.

 

[Brick Tamland]

This is the actual snowfall guys.

And? Even a couple of inches of snow mixed with ice is a big deal.

 

[NoSnowATL]

This is the 18z, 12km NAM simulated radar.

So rain to ice/ sleet then to snow? I just want to see snow flakes as well. This simulated radar has been steady.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Yep, SW VA is the place to be with this one.

 

[Snowfan]

Here's the latest maps from FFC.

 

[Jessy89]

And the cliff divers return



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Yeah but looks like a horrific ice storm. The kuechera map or whatever it’s called barely paints any snow for us.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Getting a foot of snow would be great, but you have a couple of inches of snow mixed with sleet and freezing rain, and it is going to be a mess.

 

[scroback]

That map paints very little snow in upstate sc

That's because it's all IP/ZR lol! That's very dependent on how the CAD sets up though

 

[Round Oak Weather]

This is the 18z, 12km NAM simulated radar.

How accurate would this be?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Wow! Big turnaround for the NAM.

Do we believe this one?

No

 

[Jessy89]

That's because it's all IP/ZR lol! That's very dependent on how the CAD sets up thoughView attachment 8686 View attachment 8687

That map says lights out lol

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

That map paints very little snow in upstate sc

Because this is trending towards Ice and sleet for areas around here

 

[TheBatman]

This is the 18z, 12km NAM simulated radar.

Thank you for posting this!! I am excited for my token flakes.

 

[RollTide18]

I am looking forward to my snow showers Monday atleast. Im really just want to see some flakes!

Very excited for that possibility, a quick burst of snow would be nice

 

[SD]

Nam soundings look like ----

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[Jessy89]

Because this is trending towards Ice and sleet for areas around here

Guess we need a generator instead of a sled

 

[TheBatman]

So close for Memphis at 3k nam at 60 hours. I still think their will be a lot of surprise with this system. Amazing how much uncertainty going on with the models.

 

[RollTide18]

View attachment 8688 So close for Memphis at 3k nam at 60 hours. I still think their will be a lot of surprise with this system. Amazing how much uncertainty going on with the models.

No wishcasting here but also you never know with the ULL, they have a history of surprises.

 

[Brick Tamland]

 

[Kylo]

The NW half, definitely. SE half is all IP/ZR. Here's the map valid at the same time without either View attachment 8682

That looks great, would take that in a heartbeat. I assume this is some company tool you have to filter out IP/FRZN?