drfranklin
Member
- Joined
- Dec 1, 2016
- Messages
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- 688
never toss a hot model - always blend!
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Well, I don't know what's wrong with the 0z GFS op. But, it's simulated radar is doing better, and it's probably more accurate.
People were saying earlier to be careful using this, because it's soundings are wrong.
The problem I'm picking up is the GFS likely just isn't seeing the CAD well. The NAM might be too wild but I'm seeing enough in the short range models to say the GFS probably isn't doing well on CAD again.
One more jump down and we in bidness!
I love it when Brad Travis says ground temps are too warm right now for significant accumulation Sunday Night and Monday.
Kinda funny past 2 nights we have lows at 24 degrees and highs of about 38. Hilarious.
Kinda funny past 2 nights we have lows at 24 degrees and highs of about 38. Hilarious.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Canadian looks good, eh?
Fountainguy97
Member
That map lines up perfect with the gfs soundings from what I’ve seen
On a good note, my local NWS is putting a 50% chance of snow into the grids! What about your local NWS?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Lol not that argument. We are going bitter across the SE tonight and that'll freeze the ground.
Not so much in the deep South with the front end.
Philstorm91
Member
GFS V3 has just initialized
Jessy89
Member
Does the fv3 pick up on cad better?
Snowmageddon
Member
i got 40% chance of rain and snow for Sunday night in mcdonough, ga
Lol my nws is already calling for 8-12 with 100% chance of snow/sleet
Yeah, I'm not so sure, the start of it looks like the NAM with the placement of frozen precip.
Fountainguy97
Member
It’s the upgraded gfs. It’s verification has rivaled EURO in some instances. And it’s much closer to the NAM than gfs.
The only models that matter to me now are NAM, FV3 GFS And ERUO. If these three agree it’s a strong sign
Don't forget the Ukie, pretty solid model
Gfs looks a bit clueless on thermals. ULL looked much better. Lol
JLL1973
Member
Memphis had upped their wording in their evening discussion. I'm sure it is mainly for our northern most counties
Round Oak Weather
Member
That NAM run just dropped freezing rain 10 miles from my house. This ones got me worried now
NWS has rain/snow for Sun night all the way to the GA/AL border !