Dang. I didnt realize the wintry weather could start early on Saturday. Maybe FFC issues Watches tomorrow?
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
FamouslyHot
Member
Yes once we get in the range of the NAM we can have a better idea of the CAD setup. What I was pointing out is that while the NAM is more reliable from a temp standpoint, it overestimates moisture. Another poster corrected and said that the NAM received an upgrade to correct this bias.
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They may have to cancel the game !
ForsythSnow
Moderator
It's out the door for me in terms if temps. It quite honestly sucks and is why it's being replaced. Rooting for the FV3 to verify so it can kill the GFS with honor and be a good model replacing a garbage one.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
For some reason the GFS had 3 highs and after hour 60 the HP that would be in good position to pump in CAD disappears on this run. Doesn't just dissipate, disappears.
The LP does seem a "tick" north though.
The LP does seem a "tick" north though.
Storm5
Member
Gfs is so much warmer vs the NAM
#deadtome
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#deadtome
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tennessee storm
Member
post of the month so far....
JLL1973
Member
You can tell I'm desperate I'm riding the nam also
ATLwxfan
Member
Find the warmest model and Burns will be all over it. I promise you he will call it a rain event.
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The GFS isnt good in CAD situations is it?
All hail NAM.
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- Jan 5, 2017
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I think the NAM has the best handle on temps/dews at this point in the game.. it seems much more realistic compared to the GFS imho. I'm anxious to see how the runs evolve over the next 24 hours.
#deadtome
#deadtome
Jessy89
Member
I hope new sampling didn’t start the trend north
Snowflowxxl
Member
I need go to back and due some reading in some old threads in CAD situations. Get a feel on trends and how models performed.
Cary_Snow95
Member
GFS keeping with the idea of keeping the low further off the coast of SC/NC
NoSnowATL
Member
Delete
Where you at, Eric
Gfs was a little weaker and slower with the building in of the wedge on the southern and eastern zones are more rain. As a whole though this run isn't that much different than 18z
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
Yes, the GFS doesn't handle CAD well, but we need to get closer with the NAM.
Nonetheless, there's enough signal that I'd be worried about ice from the NE ATL suburbs and up in Georgia.
(btw: This is still a good run for NC)
Nonetheless, there's enough signal that I'd be worried about ice from the NE ATL suburbs and up in Georgia.
(btw: This is still a good run for NC)
The Cad will work it self out, thr track is perfect though even for Midlands.GFS keeping with the idea of keeping the low further off the coast of SC/NC