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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

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ZR from 00z NAM
 

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Holy Shinto. Nam brings both Carolinas to its knees with a less than favorable run! Sound the alarm. That 1041 up top was sexy. Just took a little longer for DP’s to crash compared to 18z. Nice result though
 
Is the stuff up near the Dakota is what we’re supposed to be looking at in regards to the trailing energy? If so this is what it looks like.

nam_z500_vort_us_29.png

To hell with that, the lead energy is closed off near Memphis . That’s a great sign for Arkansas Tennessee and extreme northern miss and Alabama like near the northern boarders
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I’ve seen this enough times to know not to get sucked in by the NAM. Columbia friends, I suggest you don’t get your hopes up.

However, could this be more accurate in this case due to the NAM having a better hold on temp profiles whereas in other cases where Columbia has been on the edge the NAM overestimated the extent of precipitation (which won’t be an issue with this storm)


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