This might be a case where it cometh with a sizable accumulation on the ground. Webb isn't too far off when he mentions the system from feb 14 or 15 that had a big front end hit
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
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And from all the years of hearing you Carolina guys whine, it is always under-forecasted.
Kylo
Member
I would say there is pretty good agreement with EPS/GEFS. This is latest 18z runs.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Because pessimism.
BHS1975
Member
I’m very skeptical after the disaster last January.
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Jessy89
Member
Thanks for these
MichaelJ
Member
What does he know about snow, his name is Hurricane Tracker. 
. Actually that was a good post, if somewhat optimistic. Also eralier today, JB actually said this would be a storm they would talk about in the Carolinas for years and years. Right before he said this would go up to at least NYC :weenie:
. Actually that was a good post, if somewhat optimistic. Also eralier today, JB actually said this would be a storm they would talk about in the Carolinas for years and years. Right before he said this would go up to at least NYC :weenie:
Fountainguy97
Member
I guess we arnt getting a 00z nam? Supposed to start at 8:30..
No snow for you
Member
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There is always a warm nose. Always
The big questions for whether central NC gets a significant snowfall or yet another near miss:
- How much measurable snow, if any, do we get from the front-end thump?
- Will a warm nose appear, and when/if will the changeover to rain occur?
- Will we get any additional snow from the backside of the system?
There is a issue with the NCEP model data.
RollTide18
Member
TT notes that there are some NCEP data issues causing delays
Nope. Realistic.
Fountainguy97
Member
They are being extremely conservative. I’d say 2-4 across wake should be a good starting point for them. No clue why they are so low.
Every model has more than that. And 2-4 is cutting even the euro in half.
Kylo
Member
Looks like NAM will be 30 mins late.
Fountainguy97
Member
Wonde if it’s simply a delay or if we will lose the 00z set completely
Snowflowxxl
Member
Why did the NCEP issues have to happen today...
Philstorm91
Member
Man I sure hope that when there's a good round of winter on the Gulf Coast later this winter there'll still be plenty of members to discuss that event too! I'm really excited for the Carolinas right now. My favorite vacation area is right there between upstate SC and WNC.
I'm really excited for the Carolinas right now. My favorite vacation area is right there between upstate SC and WNC.
All that new data that’s coming in. Who knows. Maybe a lot of people looking at their models.
It might be because of high traffic, a lot of mets and weather amateurs viewing models all at once, slowing the servers down lol.