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Pattern Dazzling December
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
Every time I see someone say lots of energy incoming I go to look and everything fades away. If there’s so much energy where the heck is it going?
Possible incoming?? Lots of energy here.
Can Someone with more knowledge than me tell me why these keep fading out before they turn into something big?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Cmc once more a totally different setup for the 26th time frame energy wise. That storm on the 23rd needs to be pinned down before we know what's going on with the 26th. However it also brings some nice backside snow showers for the 23rd like the gfs so that'll be watched.
mydoortotheworld
Member
Check out that ridge in eastern canada. Almost squashed in the new run.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
CMC also pumping the western ridge way more on the 26th and that has implications. Almost trying to send another wave down after the one we are watching a day after.
Canadian is by far the coldest and fastest with front progression. Temps would drop through the 20s on Friday with snow showers
Waves get sheared under the vortex exiting the NE. Trough axis stays too far E, no room for amplification, weak vorticity means mediocre to no reflection on the models. They do this every year and every year we get a big NW jump around day 4-5
I know these past days of model runs have been depressing but I’ll tell you what.. I’m getting a bit intrigued by these waves of energy past our 22 storm. You don’t want the models showing u a storm right now you want them showing you the ingredients and ways small adjustments can give you that storm. I’m seeing the ingredients right now and I’m glad I’m not seeing the storm. I would like to see more ensembles jump on board to some snow. But I can easily see waves of flurries for that 25-28 ‘systems’ coming through the south. At this point if I can get flurries at any point Christmas week that is a huge W for me personally really a good Christmas feel there.
iGRXY
Member
LovingGulfLows
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It's no wonder it's trended towards backend snow showers. Ridiculously low 850hPa temps. The DGZ will be very close to the ground.
CMC about to wallop some folks after day 10.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
Very similar to what I had posted about earlier. The DGZ could be hundreds of feet off the surface with Temps that bitter.It's no wonder it's trended towards backend snow showers. Ridiculously low 850hPa temps. The DGZ will be very close to the ground.
Storm5
Member
We are great at can kicking
ForsythSnow
Moderator
If we had a 280 hour run it'd have crushed GA through VA. Not a bad look but it'll likely change by 12Z tomorrow
Honestly, this is probably the time frame we should be watching; right as the pattern breaks down.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Checking the soundings the air is not the most saturated so it wouldn't take much to immediately crash the column with the timing and influx of moisture into near freezing dry air.
Maybe at the start, but with only a small area above 0C in southern GA, I’d think that would cool as the 850mb low begins to crank.
UKMET joined the good trends. I wonder if the Euro will follow. 