Pattern Dazzling December

[Shaggy]

in the car so I can’t copy, but RAH is keeping an eye on late next week. They used the word “interesting”.

Pgv also mentions liquid ptype but the need to watch for later specifics.

 

[bigstick10]

Meanwhile FFC, true to form, ends their long term forecasts / discussion on Wednesday. ?

Yeah, no mention of anything at all, not even the potential "brutal" cold,,,Ho Humm

 

[CaryWx]

Yeah, no mention of anything at all, not even the potential "brutal" cold,,,Ho Humm

I would award them the smart cookie at this range. Going to be cold but the advent of winter weather over the holiday travel time they need to be careful with until better confidence.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Just me or is the sfc reflection on this little guy is a bit stronger?

 

[Cary_Snow95]

18z gfs is flatter so far with the TPV energy

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Don’t know about this run

 

[Avalanche]

I would award them the smart cookie at this range. Going to be cold but the advent of winter weather over the holiday travel time they need to be careful with until better confidence.

Yeah, no sense in jumping the gun. However, I wouldn't wait til 48h to discuss it with the public, as considering holiday travel people will need more notice.

 

[ILMRoss]

don't think this run is going to cut it and thats perfectly ok

 

[buckinbronco]

The energy seems to be pushing down faster this run

 

[Cary_Snow95]

This western ridge isn’t gonna cut it

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

We have to hold expectations 12z simply told us what the best case scenario is .. we’re not going to consistently see it every run for 200 hours .. let’s just see what we’re given this run

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hold on, this still might cook

 

[Ollie Williams]

You all haven't even seen the run yet. I don't have any problems with this despite being a little faster.

 

[buckinbronco]

Idk, looks like it still may work to me

 

[ForsythSnow]

We have to hold expectations 12z simply told us what the best case scenario is .. we’re not going to consistently see it every run for 200 hours .. let’s just see what we’re given this run

Not to mention ensembles are the real key this far out in terms of consistency overall. Hopefully the 12z wasn't just a good blip, but if the 18z and 0z ones hold well then we should be good with run-to-run for a few days. It's after all the key features are in place we will have to really worry about if we're set up for disappointment or something good.

 

[accu35]

Here it comes

 

[TarHeelSnow]

I don't hate this at all. Subtle changes, y'all, subtle changes. We're not even close to NAM range yet?

 

[accu35]

Definitely faster

 

[Ollie Williams]

Still digging. The ridge isn't as strong as 12z, but better than the other models.

 

[accu35]