iGRXY
Member
All it took was -EPO/+PNA, record type -NAO with 50/50 confluence, arctic airmasses falling into the US from Siberia, favorable MJO, and multiple runs of ensembles showing a storm potential to get him to finally bite.
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Pattern Dazzling December
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
All it took was -EPO/+PNA, record type -NAO with 50/50 confluence, arctic airmasses falling into the US from Siberia, favorable MJO, and multiple runs of ensembles showing a storm potential to get him to finally bite.
You want snow in central MS, AL, GA, the GEFS says the second storm is the ticket. Perfect low track besides for a couple early bombs.
Yep, 4" mean has crept into northern part of NC (outside the mountains) and gets better and better.
The mean on this run is going to be top 2 and it's not number 2
This is the weenie look @Ollie Williams was aiming for, just need more lower heights in the Atlantic 
Canadian ensembles also showing much more support to the Christmas storm.
We really don't because higher heights allow the wave to tilt positively. The SE Canada vortex moving out with the first wave is perfect IMO. All we need is the ridge over the west coast and in central Canada to trend stronger to allow our wave to dig more.
griteater
Member
12z UKMET is going with a massive cutter in the central U.S. I would say don’t shoot the messenger, but, there really is no way that you can shoot me
Well I'll put it this way I pay a lot more attention under 200 hours. We're definitely in the period where it will start to show hints of what's possible next week that's a better way of putting it.
It’s prob right lol
Still a ways to go on the CMCE, but it digged more, and was colder in all levels 
It may not have it yet, but the GEFS is about to give a nod to a third system.
If euro goes this way will be a lot of gfs hangovers
I have to ask, can you ever think of a time when a storm has caved to the UKMET? I know it has good verification scores, but I can only think of multiple times where it's been an outlier and the last to cave.
Now here’s the money look on the CMCE ???
iGRXY
Member
It's lead the way on some storms but usually had some of model supporting as well. But I have seen it be the last to jump on board certain storms
Yeah. the hurricane named IAN last year. It did GREAT with it.
rburrel2
Member
I don't think it was mentioned but Tuesday morning is still in play. Especially for North GA/Upstate SC/Western NC. GFS trended better with precip and thermal profiles(as depicted by gfs) support snow for a while if we can get enough precip to wetbulb. I don't hate this look.
