Wouldn’t be at all suprised to see a few sleet pellets in the NC Piedmont tomorrow as the atmosphere starts to moisten upMost of this will fall on the lighter side of the totals I put up, but here’s my thoughts View attachment 126194
Wouldn’t be at all suprised to see a few sleet pellets in the NC Piedmont tomorrow as the atmosphere starts to moisten upMost of this will fall on the lighter side of the totals I put up, but here’s my thoughts View attachment 126194
That’s the thing. Gotta figure out the first system because that will effect later systems.Don’t sleep on the first system, and also hard to tell if 18z EPS was better for part 2, looks like more of the TPV got strung out east under the block, which is what we want
Don’t sleep on the day 7 storm View attachment 126191View attachment 126193
At the end of the day that's what we all want to know. How will these short wave systems behave behind the huge induction of CAAThat’s the thing. Gotta figure out the first system because that will effect later systems.
A+ I really like Escarpment area looks professional. It was freezing fog/drizzle all day in Blowing Rock. I'll have obs in the morning I think for areas in NC tomorrow morning is how quick the precip moves in and Wednesday night on cad.Most of this will fall on the lighter side of the totals I put up, but here’s my thoughts View attachment 126194
This is what I was saying earlier about seeing ice as a big threat for someone on these runs.That one has potential.. biggest question will be whether or not we can manage to get cold enough air for winter weather, either at the surface in the form of ZR or otherwise in the form of SN.. the upper air setup almost looks like a classic ZR storm across the southeast.
View attachment 126217
Still watching the short range changes to this system, shortwave looks a tad better this run.
View attachment 126220
View attachment 126223
18z vs 00z GFS, it looks a lot better but I’m not sure if we have enough time to trend this to something.
We still got time for the NW trend.View attachment 126224
Tough to watch something be so close for parts of this board.
Northwest trend is your friend?View attachment 126224
Tough to watch something be so close for parts of this board.
Need the vorticity to strengthen big time in a short amount of time or get better tilt as it drops south into Texas. Idk…We still got time for the NW trend.