Pattern Dazzling December

[Arcc]

Chilly rain. Mountains could score bigly with this look. Timing is everything for everyone else.View attachment 125860
I think this storm will continue to shift south with future runs feeling block up above.

A western ridging would do wonders here.

 

[Rain Cold]

Ignore the snow, the GEFS and GFS have improved at H5 from there prior runs View attachment 125862

This is a much better map for a SE winter storm than the mess at 180. The storm near Newfoundland is deepening and will suppress the height field and storm track in the east and allow high pressure to build in. There's just enough blocking to keep it from blasting out immediately. Plus, there should be real cold air to work with. The window should be fairly decently open during that period for a winter storm....unless we go back to table setting mode.

 

[rburrel2]

ah, the ole 40:1 ratio powder snow!

No way man, you miss out on all the fun if you do that. Classic Manitoba Mauler storm here on the GFS

Ah, the ole 40:1 ratio powder snow!

 

[rburrel2]

You don't see this every day on a model run. Deja Vu for Coastal NC?

 

[rburrel2]

Actually 3 coastal's from hr 192 to 294 on this run. The first one a little too warm at the surface. Huge signal though to have that many ideal track surface low's showing up.

 

[bouncycorn]

'
Nice look on the 18z GEFS!

 

[rburrel2]

Make it 4 coastals. What a time to be alive!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

18z gefs is back to looking much much better ! Monster ridge over the Arctic

 

[Hypsometric]

18z gefs is back to looking much much better ! Monster ridge over the Arctic View attachment 125871View attachment 125872

Maybe we can claw our way back in the short-term. Even just minor adjustments made a significant improvement already.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Damn what a signal

 

[NoSnowATL]

 

[Shawn]

Website issues are being looked into. Hold tight guys

 

[ILMRoss]

bro i have seen a lot of gfs runs in my day keeping tabs on wilmington and i have never seen that town be in play for three coastals on one single run lmao

edit:
tired: man it would be shame if richmond got creamed while i was visiting my folks in wilmington

wired: i gotta get to wilmington as soon as possible no way im missing this

if there's a 1989 redux i levitate into heaven

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I’ll tell you what .. there are several monster GEFS members this run.. monsters

 

[Rain Cold]

I’ll tell you what .. there are several monster GEFS members this run.. monsters

Let's have em. We've been setting the table for weeks. Let's get the payoff pix.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

We’ve already hit a 2 inch mean on the GEFS here in NC .. and we’re not over yet..

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Let's have em. We've been setting the table for weeks. Let's get the payoff pix.

Pick your favorite

 

[Hypsometric]

I’ll tell you what .. there are several monster GEFS members this run.. monsters

Not surprised. The GFS H5 setting with a negative tilt upper low/trough that grit showed would have definitely yielded more snow than it did in that run.

 

[WXinCanton]

Whole board pretty much wins with lucky number 7

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gefs probably gonna deliver the best snow mean yet when all set and done