Wish the UK would look better, that’s ugly 
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Pattern Dazzling December
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
CMCE parks a low over the Aleutian Islands till the end of the run
Dang this gefs run is cold, low 20s/upper teens for low temps on Christmas Day on the GEFS mean 
Brent
Member
Euro is very cold... But also very dry by then
Just for kicks the Euro control was pretty active. Gulf coast, Atlantic coast, and a big storm further north. 2nd half of December looking like fun times ahead.
However the EPS as a whole is just crazy cold. 10 day average with practically the whole country solidly below average.
However the EPS as a whole is just crazy cold. 10 day average with practically the whole country solidly below average.
Coastal Carolinas (Jan 2018 vibes). I would like to see the precip and temp during this time.
AJ1013
Member
65F and foggy here at 5am.
London looks gorgeous today
London looks gorgeous today
AJ1013
Member
Winter Storm Warning posted for the higher elevations around Tucson
Where PNA go?
iGRXY
Member
Where PNA go?
Posting a long range GFS image when it doesn’t even agree with its own ensemble is interesting I guess
AJ1013
Member
Fog so dense here I can barely see the next gate over. Surprised flight isn’t delayed
SimeonNC
Member
204Hours? In agreement with the CMC. Yeah, that does get my attention. (note the time stamp on the 500mB chart)
but the CMC doesn’t have support from its ensembles either…. We all loved the 18z run of the GFS last night, but we also know that extreme of a solution is very unlikely. Anything past 5 days right now, attention has to given to ensembles
NCSNOW
Member
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What I think I know this morning: Will change by 12z lol:
No upslope after table setter storm Thursday, swings front through. Or put it this way, not even close to what I thought would be possible/ was being advertised.
GFS OP is pure garbage/useless. So its up to the ensembles, Euro Op, Ukmet and Canadian op to try and get a clue.
Looks like next Mon/Tues is the 1st legit chance of frozen here. Can and Euro ops want to front end (ice would be best bet. Long way to go on this one as any frozen will be dictated by CAD Northeast HP/confluence etc.
Outside of that Cold/Dry/Suppress may end up being the theme rest of December. Cold will be there, its the moisture and timing some at the right time. But really who knows or what model can pin that down outside of 5 days.
Still feel great about the pattern. Really all you can ask for.
No upslope after table setter storm Thursday, swings front through. Or put it this way, not even close to what I thought would be possible/ was being advertised.
GFS OP is pure garbage/useless. So its up to the ensembles, Euro Op, Ukmet and Canadian op to try and get a clue.
Looks like next Mon/Tues is the 1st legit chance of frozen here. Can and Euro ops want to front end (ice would be best bet. Long way to go on this one as any frozen will be dictated by CAD Northeast HP/confluence etc.
Outside of that Cold/Dry/Suppress may end up being the theme rest of December. Cold will be there, its the moisture and timing some at the right time. But really who knows or what model can pin that down outside of 5 days.
Still feel great about the pattern. Really all you can ask for.
AJ1013
Member
London winning today
Surprised no one mention this, but the 00z EPS was a pretty nice improvement, improving the tilt of the ridge and having a faster start time of the colder pattern, all the ensembles took trends for the better last night 
That pacific trough seems to be our saving grace, in the past they have heavily been associated with +PNA
That pacific trough seems to be our saving grace, in the past they have heavily been associated with +PNA