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Misc Cold Season Complaining

Heelyes said:
I think we were gonna get a foot off this storm about 12hrs outView attachment 166012
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That was possibly the biggest bust in central NC winter history. Thankfully, I was too young to remember how bad it was (8 years old).

We went from “a foot of snow to a foot of sunshine” in the Triad. I guess it was our penance for January 2000.
 
All I know is the NWS in BHM and all local mets are saying little if any impact at all to the Bham metro. I don’t even want to think what another 1/28/14 would do to their reputations if this over performed in any way shape or form. I’m starting to believe that .03-.05 of precip is not all that out of the realm of possibility and if we get higher ratios after dipping into the teens tonight then we will have some trouble. It’s also coming thru in the middle of the day, so it would be a nightmare if we were somehow caught off guard.
 
I am wary of any NW trends, especially with the Icon and RGEM not budging either. Seems to good to be true, imo. We've had days of bad trends now and to turn all that around in the final moments seems a little suspect to me. I know its happened before but it's not the normal way of things in our climate.
 
superjames1992 said:
That was possibly the biggest bust in central NC winter history. Thankfully, I was too young to remember how bad it was (8 years old).

We went from “a foot of snow to a foot of sunshine” in the Triad. I guess it was our penance for January 2000.
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Still not over that one..
 
Shawn said:
1988 did we even have a reliable satellite much less understand how the atmosphere worked to simulate it?
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Yes, I think NWP in some form or fashion has been around since the 1950s but it was obviously inferior to today. I recall hearing the 1993 Superstorm was supposedly picked up by computer modeling pretty far in advance.
 
superjames1992 said:
Yes, I think NWP in some form or fashion has been around since the 1950s but it was obviously inferior to today. I recall hearing the 1993 Superstorm was supposedly picked up by computer modeling pretty far in advance.
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ah yes. didnt we start making the weather radar network with all the excess ww2 military radars left over or something
 
superjames1992 said:
Yes, I think NWP in some form or fashion has been around since the 1950s but it was obviously inferior to today. I recall hearing the 1993 Superstorm was supposedly picked up by computer modeling pretty far in advance.
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We had something called the LFM model back then. All of the NWS discussions from back then are available to be read and that one was mentioned a lot. The Columbia, Atlanta and Raleigh offices handled them back then.
 
Rain Cold said:
Man, we have put in the work with this storm. I mean, a truly bodacious and heroic effort.

View attachment 166111
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Even if I score my hours per inch is going to be embarrassing and I took some time off from this storm at times since I couldn’t stand tracking for 10+ straight days. 😂

But there’s a shot my hours per inch is undefined since getting zilch is still very possible lol.
 
Shawn said:
why do people think foreign fringe models that don't have any of the plane/local data are going to outdo the american models? i dont understand
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Because all models fail. It’s in their nature. Some models fail less than others, but due to the probability of failure, we look for other alternatives.
 
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