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Misc Cold Season Complaining

Is this comparable to the situation in 2014? If I remember correctly the low passed closer to Columbia but I could be mistaken.


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Putting this here because heck, why not and I was looking at reanalysis for a bit.

Feb 2014, the LP system hugged close to the coast with a lot of CAD. In some areas that'd be more remarkable than Jan 2014 which was mostly a cold snow event outside of deep in the south (specifically, my house with mom and dad, but I was not there, thank goodness).

I honestly don't know. Both systems are up there rivalry wise for me on the memories. You have pro forecasters saying this is closer to Jan 2014 as well, but I'm afraid of this being more like Jan 2018 even though there is one piece missing here.
 
So you mean to tell me, we will have the same annoying posts every single storm? EW.
Yes. But for the next 10 years they will be right. And everyone will look smart. So they will probably belong in the storm thread unfortunately
 
Man, Physics models etc, Got a long way to go, before they can ever garner the ability to forecast our weather with precision. Just a fact. But its fun to take on the challenge.
 
The Euro has given me an inch of snow for a couple of runs, but with the way it's drying up, I'd hold some concern that most of the Ukie solutions we've seen are very, very much on the table.

I'll still be around, but after this passes, my posting probably is going to drop off just a bit.
 
Man, Physics models etc, Got a long way to go, before they can ever garner the ability to forecast our weather with precision. Just a fact. But its fun to take on the challenge.

Thankfully the AI models are already doing it better, overall. We weather model chasers just always look for a way that it could snow, even when all guidance says not likely.
 
This was particularly worse because people took the Canadian seriously. That combined with the Euro doing ONE OP run of a big hit with it recently. Everything aside from those have been crap for days.
I will never forgive the Canadian.
 
Anytime someone on I-10 can get snow in the South, we should celebrate that! Nevermind that NO season totals of snow will be higher than mine come Wednesday! I’m excited for them, truly! 1737309414570.png
 
I was never in the running for this latest storm, so I'm just happy for the folks at the southern end of Alabama who are going to see something they rarely get to see. My nephew is so excited! He's 11, and he's only seen snow once.
 
This is right now. Which model handled this frame right here the best the furthest out?

aa.PNG
 
Once this is over, can we please stop having many posts every single model run that the "NW TREND IS COMING". It was wrong.
Still well within the range where we’ve seen it happen before, even if the clock is ticking now. 😀
 
Canadian was the first model to show anything decent from this system this morning. I guess a blind squirrel finds a nut every now and then. Hopefully there’s some surprises with the deep south snow coming up.
View attachment 165542View attachment 165543

The canadian literally wiffed on most of us last run. It did horrible for the upcoming event.
 
Still well within the range where we’ve seen it happen before, even if the clock is ticking now. 😀
Yeah, I hear some crazy wind outside but that surely can't be cold Northerly winds. It must relent. It must back down to allow our low pressure to scrape the gulf coast I guess.
 
Okay guys I am going to put this bluntly.

I cannot be on here anymore today. I am sick and tired of hearing "what are they seeing we aren't" "why is the nbm seeing stuff we arent" every other post.

You finally get rid of the NW trend/suppression crap and you end up with that crap.

Good day.
 
Okay guys I am going to put this bluntly.

I cannot be on here anymore today. I am sick and tired of hearing "what are they seeing we aren't" "why is the nbm seeing stuff we arent" every other post.

You finally get rid of the NW trend/suppression crap and you end up with that crap.

Good day.

They’ve got access to models that we don’t bro.
 
Okay guys I am going to put this bluntly.

I cannot be on here anymore today. I am sick and tired of hearing "what are they seeing we aren't" "why is the nbm seeing stuff we arent" every other post.

You finally get rid of the NW trend/suppression crap and you end up with that crap.

Good day.
Surely Birdman has some inside sources within NOAA/NWS we can leverage to find out this super duper secret information?!
 
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