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Misc Cold Season Complaining

CobraMedic said:
Looks like everyone has did a swan dive off the cliff. That just leave us, the skeleton crew. We will have to wish cast the hell out of this thing. I am with y'all, how can we be so certain of the track if the LP hasn't even formed yet, and the models have been all over the place.
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Be a lot less banter to delete in the main thread with everyone at the bottom of the cliff.
 
RobertRath said:
It’s going to have to be radical for me to get into the game. Not gonna happen, just like 2014 wasn’t radical enough. Why I hated to hear all the suppression talk.
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That is unfortunate, sorry buddy. Although for us in Etowah county, it wouldn't really take a radical shift for us to get somewhat in the game.
 
CobraMedic said:
Looks like everyone has did a swan dive off the cliff. That just leave us, the skeleton crew. We will have to wish cast the hell out of this thing. I am with y'all, how can we be so certain of the track if the LP hasn't even formed yet, and the models have been all over the place.
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I’m not sure how it can track more northward across the gulf unless the high pressure is weaker to our north but the models have been fairly consistent the last few days with keeping it way out in the gulf.
 
KyloG said:
Brutal pattern…this looks like the end. Well it was a great winter, lot of cold and some snow for most.

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Yep just brutal. Every single city in the SE that has a snowfall climo with the exception of GSP, CLT, and RDU and maybe CAE (yet to be determined) will finish at or well above average snowfall for the winter. A great winter for everyone except us. Just what we needed after being completely snowless for 2 years. Everyone is just laughing at us at this point. And yes I too believe it's over unless we pull a hail Mary mid to end of Feb. And nothing at all points to that atm.
 
RobertRath said:
I’m not sure how it can track more northward across the gulf unless the high pressure is weaker to our north but the models have been fairly consistent the last few days with keeping it way out in the gulf.
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Image 3.jpeg
LP going 25miles north than projected, precipitation shields extending further, High not as strong. There are still little ways this thing can be nudged one way or another.

On the flip side, it could get worse. but lets not talk about that 😅
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
Yep just brutal. Every single city in the SE that has a snowfall climo with the exception of GSP, CLT, and RDU and maybe CAE (yet to be determined) will finish at or well above average snowfall for the winter. A great winter for everyone except us. Just what we needed after being completely snowless for 2 years. Everyone is just laughing at us at this point. And yes I too believe it's over unless we pull a hail Mary mid to end of Feb. And nothing at all points to that atm.
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Well here's the problem,
It's all about perspective!
Us old ppl remember what our averages were in the 60's-90's and we still want half of that.
Maybe I'm wrong (tbd) but the 1.3 that GSP got is going to be average or above average in a decade or 3!
If you look at it that way,
This was a banner year.
🤔🤷‍♂️💔
 
Meeting up with a few guys in Hardeeville, SC to chase this one up and and down i95. If you would like reports and pictures I can share here. We mostly likely won’t be going out of the SC/GA. I wanted to focus on eastern NC but I’m just riding along. Believe there could be something special there.
 
Mitch West said:
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I'll take my NW trend and go from clear to partly cloudy or from partly cloudy to cloudy,
With dusting to 2 inches of virga for several hours.
It hurts but we move on.
Pulling for you guys in the I-20 corridor maybe even a coating South of 85.
For us North of 85 who are older!
We've seen us miss to the South more than a few times.
The NW trend isn't always inevitable,
Unfortunately !
🤷‍♂️💔💔💔
 
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remember-when-alan-jackson.gif
 
WarEagle22 said:
Same here. I would be lying if I didn't admit though my hope has drastically diminished. The whole time I have felt this is so similar to 2014. Even the maps on the models from then to this storm are similar. We were only suppose to get a dusting as well and not really be impacted. This was the call map in 2014 and the amounts and lines drawn are close comparison. I have wondered what made that storm different from this one. I most definitely still have a gut feeling this is going to give us at least an inch or two.
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The infamous “dusting”! I don’t think Spann has uttered that word since that day.
 
Just basing this off of the folks on here that know way more than me, but I do not think we see the NW trends we normally do. The models have been pretty consistent as of late that this is a coastal storm. I am terribly disappointed because it looked good for a while in my area here in Charlotte but happy for the folks back home in SC that might score from this.
 
Billypg70 said:
Well here's the problem,
It's all about perspective!
Us old ppl remember what our averages were in the 60's-90's and we still want half of that.
Maybe I'm wrong (tbd) but the 1.3 that GSP got is going to be average or above average in a decade or 3!
If you look at it that way,
This was a banner year.
🤔🤷‍♂️💔
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Oof now if we fall to averaging 1.3 a year then yes I'm going to move! But we're well on our way. I've had 9 inches so far in the 2020s so if no more this year that's a 1.8 average for the decade. So yeah that's well below the 90s so far.
 
Anyone who knows, I have parents in the Orangeburg, SC area. What would you expect to happen down that way? Would it be worth a visit there with my kid? Thanks.
 
We still have today and tomorrow to trend better. I can’t even begin to think about how many times I have been this close to a storm and it trended NW. honestly if I was in the sweet spot or southern cut off line, I’d be biting my nails knowing what’s coming next…. So for that I do have hope thing will trend like they always seem to do.
 
Snowflowxxl said:
There is going to be a happy hour run at 18z today that is going to have people jumping for joy
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You did say we were in the hell period until about 18z today. I just looked back and read 1/28/14 and 12/8/17 to make me feel better but I need a bone to be thrown at us. EPS is the only thing keeping me going.
 
It looks like Jan 2022 will be the last time upstate SC gets a good snow for a long time. Have to go back even farther here to 2014 where I am.
 
ATL metro won't close schools Tuesday or dismiss early due to models and forecasts showing snow to the south. Then around 11am the precip shield will be further north than expected. Around 1pm as moderate snow is falling counties will dismiss students. Everyone leaves work to get their kids. 2pm traffic jam, plows and trucks cant do anything. Ground is cold, everything sticks, roads are a mess. Cars on fire. Snowmageddon 2025 is coming.
 
It seems like model conensus has honed in on a snow/no snow line about two counties to my south. South of that line gets a dusting to a couple inches, north of that gets nothing.

Is a two county shift in the final 60hrs too much to ask for?
 
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