Pattern August 2023 Thread

[Bham 99]

Yeah, we should be nearing the end of the hottest time of year. I've always considered July 15 to August 15 to be the hottest one month period of the year.

It's been in the '90s during Labor Day most of my years.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

It's been in the '90s during Labor Day most of my years.

Yes but usually in September I don’t think humidity is quite as high. September heat is a breeze compared to July and August.

 

[SASQUATCH]

SST's keep it quite moist during August

 

[BHS1975]

SST's keep it quite moist during August

And now we'll have September like SSTs in October.


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[SASQUATCH]

And now we'll have September like SSTs in October.


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Hopefully it won't get involved with a robust stacked LP system.

 

[SD]

Week 2 looks ?

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

A little warm over the next few days

 

[superjames1992]

NOLA sporting a sizzling 118 degree heat index right now after bottoming out at 86 with a 100 degree hear index last night. ?

 

[BHS1975]

Week 2 looks

Just in time for the canes popping.


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[Brent]

Ugh wake me when summer is over. It is August though most years don't even have a break like we had this week

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Ugh wake me when summer is overView attachment 136162

At least you will see a brief break in the heat, with low 60s on Monday night.

 

[weatherfide]

And now we'll have September like SSTs in October.


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Awesome! I'm going to the beach in October and the air temps will be lower due to the persistent eastern trough. The water will feel nice!

 

[Brent]

At least you will see a brief break in the heat, with low 60s on Monday night.

Yeah it's been like this everyday in Texas basically and will continue. Not one day below 100 showing up in a lot of places there

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Yeah it's been like this everyday in Texas basically and will continue. Not one day below 100 showing up in a lot of places there

I hate when I look at my forecast and there is no end in sight to the heat. It's always such a relief to at least see a brief period of relief.

 

[Tornadocane]

I think Ft. Lauderdale will definitely end up with triple digit rainfall this year. The STJ is only going to get more active as we go through the rest of the year as the El Niño continues to take hold.

There's always an uptick in flooding rains during El Nino years due to the combination of the STJ and increase tropical activity. However, we have never had an SST Anomaly Configuration that is currently present in the East Pac and Tropical Atlantic. I feel pretty confident that we'll see a historically preposterous rainfall event in the deep south on the scale of the April Single-day Flooding in Fort Lauderdale.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

There's always an uptick in flooding rains during El Nino years due to the combination of the STJ and increase tropical activity. However, we have never had an SST Anomaly Configuration that is currently present in the East Pac and Tropical Atlantic. I feel pretty confident that we'll see a historically preposterous rainfall event in the deep south on the scale of the April Single-day Flooding in Fort Lauderdale.

hopefully nothing like the flooding we had in Georgia in September 2009 !

 

[BHS1975]

Ugh wake me when summer is over. It is August though most years don't even have a break like we had this weekView attachment 136162

Man that's rough with the high dews not mixing out.


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[Tornadocane]

hopefully nothing like the flooding we had in Georgia in September 2009 !

Yes. You had a red hot GOM in an El Nino Year, and there was only one storm in the Gulf in August. The next one came in November. It's the same scenario I had in mind. "Prolonged rains resulting from a nearly stationary frontal boundary during September 16–22, 2009, caused severe flooding in northern Georgia." https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2010/1230/pdf/ofr2010-1230.pdf

 

[Brent]

I wasn't aware we relocated to the Gulf ?

 

[BHS1975]

I wasn't aware we relocated to the Gulf View attachment 136164

More like it came to you.


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