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Pattern April Thread

As far as leaf out, I'd say we're about 85-90% there.

The typical late bloomers are just not budding and leafing out now.
 
I'm still hugging the GFS, has this for the 22nd, a bit cooler. And actually the western upstate looks no warmer than low 80s on either model so I can handle that for a day or two, you can have the high heat. :D

gfs_T2m_us_26.png


Then another front clears through on the 27th - not bad

gfs_T2m_us_44.png
 
I'm really hoping we can get a widespread rain on Monday. I keep thinking the models will start to trend dryer as we get closer; and sure enough the 18z brings down the lower totals from Virginia into north NC. 18z GFS at hour 60: 1650152246422.png
 
I'm really hoping we can get a widespread rain on Monday. I keep thinking the models will start to trend dryer as we get closer; and sure enough the 18z brings down the lower totals from Virginia into north NC. 18z GFS at hour 60: View attachment 117413
NAMS been fairly consistent showing .5-1 widespread for much of the area .. coastal regions need it more than us so that’s good they will still get a soaking.. hopefully some of us outside can get under some good bands
 
Out of nowhere and all of a sudden ... booming ...

Special Weather Statement​

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
336 PM EDT Sun Apr 17 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northern Gilchrist,
Alachua, central Marion, southwestern Putnam, southwestern Columbia
and southeastern Suwannee Counties through 400 PM EDT...

At 336 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles southwest of Ichetucknee Spring to near
University Of Florida to Ocala. Movement was northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.

Locations impacted include...
Gainesville, Ocala, Fort McCoy, Ichetucknee Spring, Citra, Columbia,
Alachua, High Springs, Hawthorne and Fort White.
 
Seems we might repeat what we saw this past week (with the blizzard & pattern evolution) next wekeend.
 
Only got up to 79*F today at DFW, partly because it was mostly cloudy through 3pm. But had a heck of a 10 degree rally when the sun did finally come out.
 
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