NBAcentel
Member
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Pattern April Chasing ???⛈⛈⛈
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Even if the snow happens, I don’t see nearly this cold as most models have a bad cold bias related to snowcover. 16 F in upstate SC? Not going to happen, regardless, imho
South of 85 looks to be favored in this setup. Who would have thunk. Good to see you back for a day Kylo!
If I get 3” of snow and a low of 16, I will cancel my cruise!........ wait
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Given where we’re headed and how these events have tended to evolve plus climatology and elevation, and although I’d definitely love to see some snow, the I 85 corridor is more likely to be the southeastern extent of any snow rather than the centroid
Snow having no problem sticking in the mountains right now west of Wilkesboro. Grassy areas. Roads will be harder but easily possible if 4-8”+ occurs.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Old vs new run for 10am
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Well they aren't necessarily apples-apples because what is being shown here are two different versions of the NAM. If you look at the soundings for the 12km NAM on COD, they actually do support snow in/around CLT. The 3km NAM on weathermodels is warmer at the surface but the low-mid levels are also slightly cooler than being 0C isothermal.
I woke up this morning to discover the leaves exploded further after the last 2 days of warmer temps and higher dewpoints.
NBAcentel
Member
Yeah, oak trees definitely exploded here along with wild cherry trees
NCSNOW
Member
Snowing earlier today in Boone around lunch time
pcbjr
Member
Y'all keep this up and someone's gonna be wonderin' if he cleaned out and closed up the southern command's 2 fireplaces just a tad too early ... on 2nd thought ... Nawwww ...
30 degrees this morning. Might be the last freeze but we'll see.
FFC has us getting to 80*F+ by the upcoming weekend.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
HRDPS is #broke
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Thursday through monday looks to be a active weather pattern, Louisiana and southern mississippi look to be the worst as of now. With spc maintaining its risk area. 
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Sounding from the Nam on the MS/LA line, not too shabby. It seems with each new run on the Nam that the warm sector reaches into alabama which will need to be watched because helicity values will be high over alabama. 
NBAcentel
Member
Lolololol
Y’all suprised ?
Y’all suprised ?
Snowflowxxl
Member
We do not need it being cold for Masters Weekend! 75 and Sunny, ya heard me! This is not optional!
NoSnowATL
Member
I’ll be down there that Wednesday. I need sunny and 80!
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I'll believe it when I see it. We've been waiting on that for about 6 years
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Maybe not if the 0Z GFS is onto something for 4/9-11.
NBAcentel
Member
-NAO only in spring ??
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Zander98al
Guest
The Euro looks nasty. For saturday/saturday.
Stormlover
Member
Snow chasing? lol..from HUN NWS:
The deterministic 00Z GFS for the timeframe past Monday, with its further northward positioned low, draws sharply colder air across the Deep South on Tue/Wed, bringing the 540 thickness line south of the Tennessee River, and snow too. The GFS ensemble and Fv3 (experimental GFS) was was more reserved regarding that occurring, were closer to the EC and Canadian. Stayed on the latter models and continuity for next Sunday and Monday.
The deterministic 00Z GFS for the timeframe past Monday, with its further northward positioned low, draws sharply colder air across the Deep South on Tue/Wed, bringing the 540 thickness line south of the Tennessee River, and snow too. The GFS ensemble and Fv3 (experimental GFS) was was more reserved regarding that occurring, were closer to the EC and Canadian. Stayed on the latter models and continuity for next Sunday and Monday.
FV3 looks very violent for April. Accumulating snow from NC to WV mountains, blizzard for Chicago east then heavy rain and severe weather Kentucky into the south-east. All before we hit mid April.
Actually favors NC mountain thunderstorms that drift east into the Piedmont. Maybe a day or two. Would love to lock that pattern in for several weeks but doubtful.
NBAcentel
Member
Best pattern in my opinion, no rotating storms just generally to strong pulse storms
True reversal. Summer is coming.
pcbjr
Member
NoSnowATL
Member
Nah. I like a front to come through and make them all look like duffers on Sunday. Makes me feel better about my game.
pcbjr
Member
NoSnowATL
Member
pcbjr
Member
Both are CPC; both are just probabilities; just amazes me how different they sometimes can be coming from the same source on the same day ... but to digress, in no rush for 8 months of summer ...
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Zander98al
Guest
Gfs still has the idea of the low pressure system. Not much of a LLJ or helicty though. 
30 degrees, another subfreezing morning, I'm hopeful this is the last one but I have my doubts
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