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Pattern April Chasing ???⛈⛈⛈
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
I KNEW WE WERE going to GET NAMD ... I’m still nervous though with how thin of a line this is going to be it just has all the signs of a rip ... I’m a little north and east of Charlotte only by a few miles .. can I get my snow storm after all?????
Looks like it’s going to be a fine line. Gonna to be boom or cold rain.
I feel pretty decent here in the upstate. 1% chance of seeing snow. I think I’m in the “boom or bust” zone and I ain’t mad. Cold drizzle or heavy wet non accumulating snow. Can’t really complain
Somebody post that euro when it drops thx
Somebody post that euro when it drops thx
Yea, considering it’s April or going to be when this happens. Token flakes would be a win. The amazing thing here around mby is. We still have a lot of brown grass. Usually the grass is a lot greener by now.
Well s***, this looks even better for CLT so far and maybe even CAE ?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
0z ECMWF fairly similar to the prior run w/ a small stripe of snow between Greenville-Spartanburg & Columbia, SC in the upstate up to around Charlotte.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The vast majority of the 0z EPS suite actually had snow on the I-85 corridor between Atlanta & Greensboro, with several fairly large hits on this cycle.
Let’s get it inside 30 hours. We need to see the whites in her eyes. We’re one hot fart away for a full blown rain storm
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We’ve been NAM’d near truncation, that’s usually a death sentence
Cad Wedge NC
Member
No, I am worried more about warm and dry. I believe going OTS is more of a possibility than a cold rain.
Haha very true ... well someone’s going to have to pull the trigger on it .. it’s in TWO days need some earning ahead of time with it hitting in the morning/afternoonWe’ve been NAM’d near truncation, that’s usually a death sentence
But you’re also right we have like 8 or so more Nam runs
Nomanslandva
Member
Blacksburg's discussion is clearly not giving any thought to the NAM at this point. The do not even mention the s word. https://forecast.weather.gov/produc...NK&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
2 PM snow in April is a strange bird though.
2 PM snow in April is a strange bird though.
if anyone deserves anything we know who what when where and why. Trends are good but need another cycle or two before Blacksburg jumps back on board hands up don’t shoot ok
Don’t do it. It’s April, don’t do it to yourselves.
if we do get snow, this may be a little problem, but I’ve seen ground temps quite close to this before then heavy rates completely cover the ground like nothing, especially heavy wet snow, anyways this could still be a cold rainstorm
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Well, I knew somebody would post it eventually...
I mean it is a little problem
Slight problem but temps will be in the 30s tonight and tomorrow night so that should help cool them off a little plus with the rates the 3km Nam was showing especially in upstate SC and around Charlotte .. there were quite some heavy snow bands some pinks even showing up .. won’t be a problem at all to stick. But the day after it’ll be go e
IM SOLIDLY IN THE BLUE BUT RIGHT IN THE BUT NEAR THE RAIN SNOW LINE WHICH MEANS HEAVYYYYY RATES BABY ...OH GOOD GRACIOUS IF I DONT GET THIS IM MOVING TO MILWAKEE
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Rates will overcome!
Still going 
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Looking better for the I-85 corridor. Keep it coming this way and we could see a good hit.
We are threading a very thin needle with this storm and it looks like it could possibly work out !! I’m a bit shocked we had to wait this long and I was really not taking this threat seriously but obviously that can’t be the case nomore
ForsythSnow
Moderator
It very well is. I think it'll come NW just a bit more and the I-85 corridor will come more into play as the models are still adjusting and they seem to do that. The Kuchera puts some 6" totals down in SC and the soundings even for N GA line up for snow. In addition, the frontogenesis creating the deformation band is moving closer and starting further west this run.
Jon
Member
It’s funny how different the Precip depictions are. Simulated radar from weathermodels looks different in those same areas.
Edit: I just realized those DuPage images are 1000-500 thickness, not the best to use when determining Ptype!
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Jon
Member
Old vs new run for 10am
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I made a thread for this system now so let's post over there about it now.
Old vs new run for 10am
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Yeah last run was definitely more impressive, areas that had heavy wet snow last run now have a bit more lighter precip, little breaks in the precip which I assume doesn’t help the process of dynamical cooling allowing to crash soundings to support snow
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Snowflowxxl
Member
