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Pattern Another Angry August: Broiled, Baked, and Bone-Dry

This weekend is the most interesting thing we've had in a while, minus tracking oppressive heat. Looks like a slow moving front crosses much of the southeast/midatlantic early in the weekend and our much advertised slug of dryer, cooler air is confined to VA+north on Saturday before the departing 500mb trough can swing down a bit more into Sunday and our surface HP settles in the northeast to setup a CAD structure with a little more traditional low lvl drying and cooling. Before it seemed like we were relying on the cooler air from the north to keep things down Saturday, now it seems that we may be more looking for widespread cloud cover/showers along the interaction between the front and more southerly flow in the mid-upper levels.
 
jackendrickwx said:
This weekend is the most interesting thing we've had in a while, minus tracking oppressive heat. Looks like a slow moving front crosses much of the southeast/midatlantic early in the weekend and our much advertised slug of dryer, cooler air is confined to VA+north on Saturday before the departing 500mb trough can swing down a bit more into Sunday and our surface HP settles in the northeast to setup a CAD structure with a little more traditional low lvl drying and cooling. Before it seemed like we were relying on the cooler air from the north to keep things down Saturday, now it seems that we may be more looking for widespread cloud cover/showers along the interaction between the front and more southerly flow in the mid-upper levels.
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TLDR wudge
 
SD said:
Id love it but i doubt it. We are back to the endless above normal pattern by the 6th
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CFS Tanks us on 850's roughly 1st 10 days and last 10 days of August. Warm at the 850 level Aug10-20.
However if you throw in a Bastardi curveball, which is a cloud induced 1-2 day event from Tropics to mute Aug10-20th. And we might have a winner.
 
Its always possible some quirky ull gets stuck under the rising heights over the NE and SE Canada and we avoid the big warm but squeezing the heat toothpaste out of the west makes it hard to hold on to BN. This looks like our winter patterns recently right after big cold shotsgem_z500a_us_29.png
 
JHS said:
The 18z GFS is delaying the cooldown. Now not cooling down until Saturday for many of us.
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90 Thursday, 84 here Friday, 70's weekend. This is what's been advertised timing wise I thought. with 80% storms Thurs evening into Friday as transition takes place.
 
iGRXY said:
Says who?
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Well, the GFS has already cut these totals by 50-75% for many of us and it will probably cut them even more. Sat and Sun will not be nearly as cool as forecast either with much more sun. GSP's 90+ may just keep going.
 
tennessee storm said:
Don’t get to excited just yet… seen several days early October get 90 degrees even… and daily averages keep on warming up as climate keeps getting warmer
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Yeah, we gotta stop covering everything in concrete and asphalt. Move to the country, it's not getting warmer there, at least not the highs...lows however, they are inching up.
 
JHS said:
Well, the GFS has already cut these totals by 50-75% for many of us and it will probably cut them even more. Sat and Sun will not be nearly as cool as forecast either with much more sun. GSP's 90+ may just keep going.
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Well the GFS is not a good model so it holds zero weight. If you want to keep quoting it like it is, be my guest. But it's routinely off on temps and precip.
 
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