Cadi40
Member
The main threat is obviously flooding for areas around Charlotte and Northwest.
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Global models aren't equipped to fully resolve warm advection, isentropic upglide, and orographic lift that will all be very big contributors to precipitation this week, especially in the western piedmont of NC & extreme upstate SC not to mention the convective, sporadic nature of much of this precip. Red flags everywhere on this setup suggest major over performance
Wow, what is the final total? Columbia SC now looks to be increasing in amount.Literally every 6-hourly interval on today's 12z ECMWF has measurable precip in Charlotte beginning late tomorrow & lasting into early Saturday.
Time to invest my $1200 stimulus check in a boat.
HRRRv4 wants to develop some showers and storms around here near the midnight hour. I wouldn’t be opposed to some nighttime storms.View attachment 41617
Blurb hrrrs show embedded rotating supercells in the NEward moving QLCS ?