4/7-4/10 possible severe WX

[Rain Cold]

I have complete ground coverage

I hear it over your house. Loud. Going to miss to my south, but we should get a little rain here.

 

[ryan1234]

Waiting for that ignition to spark some storms over this way. If GSP's future radar is to be believed it should be around 7-10. We shall see.

 

[SD]

Curious how big the hail gets there in your neck of the woods SD, storm track suggests hail up to 1.5”

View attachment 81666

Lots of volume not a lot of size

 

[BHS1975]

Lots of volume not a lot of size

You just beat the last several winters.


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[SD]

2nd biggest winter event



Currently 55 degrees

 

[jackendrickwx]

Oh shoot

 

[RBR71]

That cell in northern Vance County looks like it has a hook signature and rotation, probly getting ready to get tornado warned again.

 

[NorthDFWwx]

 

[NorthDFWwx]

BTW, I'm hearing now that the latest HRRR is a lot more bullish with storm initiation around DFW.

 

[SASQUATCH]

Cha Cha Cha


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[RBR71]

2nd biggest winter eventView attachment 81672
View attachment 81673
View attachment 81674View attachment 81675View attachment 81676View attachment 81678

Currently 55 degrees

Dude that will knock some pollen down

 

[SD]

Dude that will knock some pollen down

Got 1.56 from it I take

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Loving the look of these storms today hoping I can get at lucky as @SD today in apex .. I’m driving for papa johns so basically storm chasing

 

[NorthDFWwx]

C

Called it, lol...



Mesoscale Discussion 0346
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0359 PM CDT Fri Apr 09 2021

Areas affected...Parts of central Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 092059Z - 092300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered intense thunderstorms
increasingly possible through 5-6 PM, accompanied by the risk for
large, potentially damaging, hail and locally strong surface gusts.
A severe weather watch may be needed within the next hour or so.

DISCUSSION...The deepening moist boundary layer has become strongly
unstable along/east of the dryline which is still just west of the
Interstate 35 corridor, across north central through central Texas.
As mid-level troughing begins to overspread this region, it appears
that cooling aloft is contributing to weakening of initially strong
mid-level inhibition. Initial attempts at thunderstorm development
may be underway to the west of the dryline, based on recent
satellite imagery, and isolated to widely scattered thunderstorm
development appears possible through 22-23Z.

Strongest deep-layer shear, beneath the high-level jet of
lower-latitude Pacific origin, is generally south of the Dallas-Fort
Worth Metroplex, between Waco and San Antonio, where potential for
supercells currently seems highest. This probably will be
accompanied by a risk for large, potentially damaging hail, and
locally strong surface gusts into early evening.

..Kerr/Thompson.. 04/09/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...

LAT...LON 32539781 32609689 30859676 29859735 29379815 29539867
29889878 30729831 32539781

 

[NorthDFWwx]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 82
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
425 PM CDT Fri Apr 9 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North and central Texas

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 425 PM until
1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Multiple supercells are expected to develop along the
dryline, first near the Waco vicinity and eventually farther north
towards the Metroplex. Large hail up to baseball size should be the
primary threat.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles east northeast
of Sherman TX to 30 miles southeast of Temple TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 76...WW 77...WW 78...WW
79...WW 80...WW 81...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29030.

...Grams

 

[jackendrickwx]

30 active svr warnings

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Not really sure why it looks like this, but it shows the cap has weakened noticeably...

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I might be in perfect position for a boundary boom ... two big outflows headed for each other .. who ever is under it wins for the day

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I might be in perfect position for a boundary boom ... two big outflows headed for each other .. who ever is under it wins for the day

 

[SD]

@metwannabe you getting nervous yet

 

[Brent]

Looks like my first Oklahoma line incoming

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hrrr doesn’t show this, might effect Charlotte later

 

[Zander98al]

We gotta outflow boundary on the state line ????

 

[NorthDFWwx]

The updrafts along the dry line seem to be struggling so far.

 

[Brick Tamland]

And as usual the storms all go around Wake. Storms to the north and storms to the south. At least they didn't waste a watch on us this time.

 

[Zander98al]

This storm interacting with the outlfow boundary has rapidly intensified within the last 15 minutes

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Rapidly Growing storms near the boundary lines .. this is about to get sloppy

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Wow massive lightning strike infront of me

 

[freebird581bd]

@metwannabe in the double R,

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[NickyBGuarantee]

Summer. Minus the 90 degree heat

 

[NorthDFWwx]

It looks like a nice cell is finally trying to get going down towards Alvarado, TX.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Heard some thunder. Maybe there's a chance.

 

[jackendrickwx]

 

[Brick Tamland]

That one to the south can't miss me.

 

[NorthDFWwx]

And here we go...

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
TXC139-217-251-100030-
/O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0059.210409T2323Z-210410T0030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
623 PM CDT Fri Apr 9 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
East central Johnson County in north central Texas...
Northeastern Hill County in central Texas...
Southwestern Ellis County in north central Texas...

* Until 730 PM CDT.

* At 623 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Grandview, or
9 miles south of Alvarado, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect
wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Waxahachie, Italy, Grandview, Maypearl, Milford and Mertens.

This includes the following highways...
Interstate 35W between mile markers 8 and 22.
Interstate 35E between mile markers 376 and 397.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection get inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3214 9676 3207 9690 3201 9685 3200 9686
3223 9725 3236 9720 3237 9676 3216 9674
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 284DEG 13KT 3228 9717

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$

12

 

[Brick Tamland]

More thunder. Getting closer.

 

[blueheronNC]

Of course when I desperately need a downpour to wash all the pollen away, we can’t buy a shower

 

[SD]

 

[Zander98al]

Tornado warned storm in mississippi strong rotation.

 

[Zander98al]

Gotta little ball on the cell