Severe 4/4-4/6 Severe Threat

[Carolina Sky]

I hope Raleigh can get in on the action .. we look to be right on the edge of where things get going via HRRR .. they look like some nasty cells though so radar trends will be interesting to see where things start to get going View attachment 116949

Looks like it's riding right up US 1.

 

[weatherfide]

Surely, the greatest threats were flooding and lightning with those storms last night, for my area. It was still as a corpse. Wind was not a factor.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Clearing here. RAP/HRRR bringing over 1500 CAPE to most of central and eastern NC. SHR meh, but up toward SE VA along the warm front is looking like it has some potential later today

 

[Carolina Sky]

Clearing here. RAP/HRRR bringing over 1500 CAPE to most of central and eastern NC. SHR meh, but up toward SE VA along the warm front is looking like it has some potential later today

I was hoping it would stay cloudy and rainy all morning. I think that helped us avoid more severe storms last week.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

2 days of small hailers ?

 

[Billypg70]

Surely, the greatest threats were flooding and lightning with those storms last night, for my area. It was still as a corpse. Wind was not a factor.

Here in northern GVL county in SC it wasn't much more than a rainstorm.
No wind only a couple of strikes of & thunder.
Nothing Sevier or even borderline.
Thankful watching places to my south & west.

 

[Downeastnc]

This is kinda interesting given the broken nature of the line....

 

[Metwannabe]

This is kinda interesting given the broken nature of the line....

View attachment 116960

Still showing that potential for a couple of decent tornados in E NC and E Va. Suns out now so let the destabilization commence

 

[SD]

Clearing here. RAP/HRRR bringing over 1500 CAPE to most of central and eastern NC. SHR meh, but up toward SE VA along the warm front is looking like it has some potential later today

It's a good set up for our area locally to have a severe storm or 2 that has broad rotation but I think our biggest threat with long straight hodos and steepening mid layer lapse rates will be abnormally large hail for our area and maybe some downbursts. I wouldn't entirely rule out a weak brief tornado as far west as US1 but it's going to be really hard to tighten any rotation up imo.

 

[Metwannabe]

Let's see if the HRRR is even close today, if correct somewhere in NE NC/SE Va gonna get a tor warning or two

 

[SENC]

Full Sun is out here..

Currently
74F
Pressure 29.63 in
Visibility 10 miles
Clouds Partly Cloudy
Dew Point 65 F
Humidity 65 %

 

[Carolina Sky]

Sun is out and it's up to 76 here.

 

[Carolina Sky]

Let's see if the HRRR is even close today, if correct somewhere in NE NC/SE Va gonna get a tor warning or two

View attachment 116963

Wake must have the shields up. Showing north and south of us.

 

[jackendrickwx]

She’s juicy

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

View attachment 116964
She’s juicy

I’m liking the development out west too. Hoping we can pop some big hailers upon arrival

 

[jackendrickwx]

I’m liking the development out west too. Hoping we can pop some big hailers upon arrival

Should be noted that development is all behind the cold front

 

[jackendrickwx]

Little more warm sector development now. HRRRRRRRR says excitement ain’t till 4-5pm at least

 

[Carolina Sky]

Little more warm sector development now. HRRRRRRRR says excitement ain’t till 4-5pm at least

I get more worried about severe weather here when we've had some clearing and the sun has been out a while as opposed to what we had last week when it was raining all day. Seems that's when we have a better shot at having more widespread events, usually happening in the late afternoon and early evening. It's either then or we have it happen overnight when it's been warm for a while.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Probably the area to watch for development of cells over the next 60-90min. Little more bubbling of clouds and now some radar response in that region

 

[jackendrickwx]