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4/11/20 - 4/13/20 Severe Weather Outbreak

Each HRRR run begins to look worse and worse for central Alabama. Rotating cells within the line are gonna be a major problem later on. 15z HRRR had a cell directly over my house
 
First rumble of thunder today, and certainly not the last. Only 58/53 here, stuck in the wedge. I'm not sure how long this CAD can hold in place, but the warm front isn't supposed to clear here until 8-12 tonight, depending on which model you look at.
 
Based on latest guidance I could see the SPC upgrading Virginia from enhanced to MOD risk. Perhaps extending the enhanced back west to include south/West Virginia all the way to DC. Interesting to note the DC area could see the severe weather before places like Wilkesboro/Winston-Salem see any action with winds approaching 70 to 80mph. Could this give central/eastern NC more tornado potential with a lag in time? Maybe. 5706F280-76C3-41DD-8210-B7EEC0C3C304.jpeg
 
Some decent potential for widespread damage for Mountain City, TN, West Jefferson, NC, Blacksburg, VA. I would rather deal with an isolated tornado than to see widespread damage from wind. I’m not sure how far this line will sag as it exits north-east. But prob safe to say Iredell County NC and points north.
 
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BirdManDoomW said:
There’s likely going to be widespread damage for Mountain City, TN, West Jefferson, NC, Blacksburg, VA. I would rather deal with an isolated tornado than to see widespread damage from wind. I’m not sure how far this line will sag as it exits north-east. But prob safe to say Iredell County NC and points north.
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Stop with absolutes
 
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