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4/11/20 - 4/13/20 Severe Weather Outbreak

There is no way the FFC office put the “historic” language out based on one forecaster’s opinion.
Oh yes they did! Headline in their graphic! See previous pages. If graphic is gone, I also commented on that language...
 
ARW has a death tube going through AL
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Plausible. Forms early and gets strong which helps it get around the meager low level lapse rates and high shear, pseudo boundary provides extra lift and helicity. That would be a sight to behold, more or less a Hackleburg type cell.

bs06.us_se.png
 
NSSL WRF also shows really the one lone supercell hitting central AL, although it is probably a bit more realistic than the powerhouse the ARW shows.
 
This is how I see things for GA......I think we see some strong/severe storms with the warm front moving northward through the state. Then I think we get "capped" for the rest of the night until we get some stronger forcing late late night or into Monday morning. That could lead to all hell breaking loose since we won't have a rain mass cluttered mess. Just how I see it right now for GA.
 
the hrrr has been terrible with those storms back in Texas, it had them developing way south, but it’s not verifying that way right now, and instead there developing way north than modeled, this could mean a larger warm sector tommorow 9B6B97B5-D79A-4E16-ADBA-4AB30676AAAF.png067ABBC7-EA55-40DD-A12C-49FEE89D2FDF.png
 

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