What is Euro showing for Columbia SC?
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4/11/20 - 4/13/20 Severe Weather Outbreak
- Thread starter Webberweather53
- Start date
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- Tags
- severe weather tornadoes
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Euro is basically showing Apr 16 2011 part ii in the Carolinas
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
These thermals and parameter spaces are hilariously similar.
mean looking QLCS with embedded supercells, soundings very supportive as well, even at night thermodynamics are solid for a high end HSLC event, hodo is scary, shear is scary, and I thought that setup back in February was scary 
also that CIPS analog looks similar to last years moderate
also that CIPS analog looks similar to last years moderate
Bunker right Storm motions over 70kts is just insane
BHS1975
Member
Early morning timing too. 
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
We hardly ever get the diurnal timing right around here. Usually morning or overnight stuff that looks bad 5 days out but ends up not a big deal. The parameters with this setup appear to be pretty impressive, but we have a long way to go. Would like to see better timing before getting too excited...for here, I mean.Early morning timing too.
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
If you see this in mid April, you probably don't need much explanation for what's happening over the SE US
Yeah the EPS really starting to come together at H5 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
GFS completely folded to the Euro, still ticking NW on this run. Embarrassing.
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Really shows you the strength and superiority of the euro. It was at a disadvantage and more susceptible to issues with the ongoing issue of lack of data from aircraft due to the coronavirus. And the gfs still had to play catch up.
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Whens reed timmer going to start saying historic tornado outbreak likely?. Hes probaby too caught up in the severe weather up north so i give it a day.
Shaggy
Member
Sorry guys for this but I have been asleep all day for work tonight. Is this for Sunday or Sunday night? Timing is of great concern for me for family daycare reasons.
If we speed this up 12 hrs or slow it down 12 we are in really deep ----
Right now for your area it would be arriving just before 12z Monday
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Stormsfury
Member
Very odd you stated that. Thursday's record high was set in 2011 at Charleston with 90...(lot of similarities indeed). Locally we had a brief but failed attempt at a supercell in Summerville... Storm was sheared apart by marine influences in the early afternoon). But we all know what happened basically just north of here and into NC that day
It’s very far off when you were showing the euro rain totals of 2-4”+. GFS is half inch of rain if that and less for the NC/VA border areas. Anyone with tropical tidbits can see you are flat out wrong saying it completely folded. I know the GFS sucks but you are being wishy-washy showing the euro extremes then falsely saying the GFS folded. I’m mostly tracking the rain which most need in their gardens.
GFS is trending towards the euro anyways, with severe and rain, the gfs has basically folded... in being a complete trash model, lol
Bryce Shelton
Member
so local met here in the Lowcountry isn't buying the severe weather threat ??