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Wintry 3/10-13 Winter Weather

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3.32 mean on the SREF plumes for BHM. 8 members over 4 with one at 8.80 inches. Why do those have to be so damn wrong all the time? There are some massive spreads with this system
 
The NAM snow maps for 18z are beautiful but I do not know how it is going to accumulate what it is showing with 3 hours max of snow.
 
Looks like I actually have a decent shot at seeing snowfall, and maybe even accumulation, in Richmond tomorrow. I thought I was done with snow this year, but it seems not. ☃️
 
iT'S a beautiful sight to see the cold chasing the moisture in southern Ark and NE texas....and overtaking it! Also starting to see the moisture feed increasing from the GOM. Gonna be vermodernweeniey interesting!
 
From Rah NWS...... giddy up!! lol

The forecast still does not include any snow
accumulation considering it`s been several days since there were any
below freezing temperatures and the ground should be very warm, but
cannot rule out the possibility of accumulating snow if any
mesoscale banding develops behind the front and snowfall rates are
strong enough to overcome the warm ground.
 
here's a snippet from the afternoon disco from MRX - this might explain why some model runs are throwing out some big totals, some crazy strong lift involved with this setup

...There is a very high degree of confidence that accumulating snowfall
will be seen across the entire forecast area. There is also high
confidence that a short period (roughly 2-4 hours) of heavy snowfall
rates will be seen. Model plan views show the CWA between two
distinct jet structures which will favor strong upward motion.
Additionally, cross sections show this deep upward omega along with
saturated air extending through the dendritic growth zone and also
into regions of negative saturated EPV. All of this supports the
idea of high synoptically driven precip rates with the potential for
some enhancement via convective processes and resulting 2"/hr
snowfall rates. All of this has lead to a broad increase in expected
snow accumulations, especially over the central and parts of the
southern TN valley, which are locations that should be favorably
positioned beneath upper jet structures...
 
Just checked into our room in Maggie valley nc. Hoping for a couple inches we shall see


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Huntsville AFD raised totals for northeast AL to up to 5”, looks good for 2-4 for most areas. It sure is nice outside, just got back inside from the enjoying the sun and 70.
1647035871292.jpeg
 
Under a winter storm warning here in extreme north Georgia. Also I passed by your town Forsyth made me think of your username lol @ForsythSnow
 
Parker said:
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1. Lmao, I highly doubt there is going to be 4” of snow almost down to Columbus, GA, as this 12 km 18Z NAM map shows.

2. I think it is best for me to not post the ridiculously overdone (for ATL) 18Z GFS Maxar clown map. There are issues with low resolution as I noted earlier on these maps.
 
GaWx said:
1. Lmao, I highly doubt there is going to be 4” of snow almost down to Columbus, GA, as this 12 km 18Z NAM map shows.

2. I think it is best for me to not post the ridiculously overdone (for ATL) 18Z GFS Maxar clown map. There are issues with low resolution as I noted earlier on these maps.
Click to expand...
You mean the one that drops 12.5” in Chattanooga?… ?
 
I wonder with the amount of lift possible if there might be some thundersnow somewhere.
 
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