LC
The presence of a strong, well-defined ITCZ convection array over northern South America strongly implies an early, and active, Atlantic Basin tropical cyclone season. This is with particular emphasis this season on the Gulf Coast and Southeast shoreline. Note that the frontal structure in the Great Plains is weakening; there will be a prominent severe weather threat in Iowa, Missouri, and Arkansas on Easter Sunday, but odds on significant moisture are no much less in Texas and Louisiana. The cool intrusion behind the front will have some effects in the Midwest/Great Lakes, and eventually the Northeast. But we are moving deeper into Spring, so impacts for possible heating demand are much less with the stronger sunshine.
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