Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread

[lexxnchloe]

Meanwhile there is still no sign of hyper-active





What is showing up on the Euro is also a feature on the GFS. I may be the only one but these low pressures north of the CV islands are killing tropical waves




I would think the opposite is needed for waves to amount to anything. High pressure north of CV, Low pressure south.

 

[NoSnowATL]

 

[Henry2326]

06z GFS....not sure I've seen a storm do this.....GFS decided to move it all over the place.

 

[Henry2326]

06z GFS......and if this actually happened:
Hurricane in the gulf
Hurricane in the Atlantic
Would hit Jax, which hasn't happened in 100 years; not sure of actual years, but a really long time. Pushing water up the John's River in Jax would be a disaster no matter how strong the storm.

 

[NoSnowATL]

need a center 1st

 

[Henry2326]

need a center 1st

For timing:
GFS - Saturday midnight
ICON - Saturday morning
EURO - Sunday early morning

 

[NoSnowATL]

For timing:
GFS - Saturday midnight
ICON - Saturday morning
EURO - Sunday early morning

Crazy to think we might have no idea on a real track until like 24hrs before a potently landfall.

 

[Henry2326]

Crazy to think we might have no idea on a real track until like 24hrs before a potently landfall.

yep....it always seems to be 3 days prior before even getting close to a clue.

 

[weatherboyy]

We got 97L

 

[Henry2326]

We got 97L

Starting point.....finally

 

[Shaggy]

Gfs ensembles with more spread than earlier when it was concentrated in the GOM

 

[Chazwin]

So is it time to start a thread for 97L?

 

[lexxnchloe]

JB says Aug 2020 is on the table.

 

[Chazwin]

JB says Aug 2020 is on the table.

Yeah that’s definitely possible. The MJO headed towards phase 1 is basically the same timing that we saw then

 

[NoSnowATL]

Sorry @accu35 12z runs aren't your friends.

 

[Chrisgo]

Definitely need to watch if Debby crosses FL exit GA coastline, strengthening and crawling near those Gulf stream waters.

 

[snowc]

Now expected to be in NC?!!

 

[accu35]

Now expected to be in NC?!!

We have an invest page for this storm

 

[NoSnowATL]

We have an invest page for this storm

You should like the Hurricane models.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Debby might be the catalyst to jumpstart the season. Huge cool high has dropped down behind Debby. The place to look will be the SW ATL with a big high north and stalled front south. Also, it might get the CV season going.