Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread

[Brent]

Gfs stalls and doesn't make landfall through Tuesday

 

[accu35]

Gfs stalls and doesn't make landfall through Tuesday

This could be a bad situation not only a strengthening storm but a stall along the gulf coast

 

[lexxnchloe]

GFS heads back south down to 951mb

 

[accu35]

That west drift begins

 

[Brent]

What a gfs run

 

[lexxnchloe]

That west drift begins

Gets down to 949 then loks like landfall in MS

 

[Brent]

Makes landfall right over icyclones house...

 

[lexxnchloe]

3 completely different options from cmc, gfs, icon

 

[accu35]

18z Euro EPS westward

 

[accu35]

 

[Brick Tamland]

This could be a bad situation not only a strengthening storm but a stall along the gulf coast

And we know how these have blown up in the Gulf rapidly the past few years.

 

[accu35]

UKMET

 

[LickWx]

View attachment 149062UKMET

Texas needs to keep an eye , the westward trend just starting. Alabama can breath a sigh of relief hopefully

 

[accu35]

Texas needs to keep an eye , the westward trend just starting. Alabama can breath a sigh of relief hopefully

Let’s hope so, but think TX could be to far west for this storm

 

[GaWx]

0Z Euro: stays in Gulf through end of run as a weak system; extreme rainfall just off W coast of FL

0Z UKMET: TC into Mississippi that then turns E

 

[GaWx]

0Z EPS: another further W shift of mean with almost all in E Gulf; most of these landfall NE Gulf but some go to NW Gulf

 

[lexxnchloe]

Big change on GFS. Gets to here then back SW

 

[lexxnchloe]

Then back to here

 

[NoSnowATL]

Darts

 

[weather bubba]

The models are all over the place as far as the future of this potential tropical system. It looks like a lot of rain wherever it ends up tracking, especially if it stalls out over the Gulf Coast or Western Florida. I think we will have a better idea of what may happen once a low pressure center develops with this disturbance.