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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread

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weatherboyy said:
Lol nhc 😆
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Gets on my nerves people don’t know how to read the NHC forecasts. They are not “giving more odds of a s/e hit” it’s just simply their required by law margin of error they do in the extended..which can be even larger if the system stalls. If I was on the OBX I would prob be canceling reservations but nobody else just yet.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
Gets on my nerves people don’t know how to read the NHC forecasts. They are not “giving more odds of a s/e hit” it’s just simply their required by law margin of error they do in the extended..which can be even larger if the system stalls. If I was on the OBX I would prob be canceling reservations but nobody else just yet.
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Everything gets on your nerves....lol.
 
Caesar said:
As someone heading to the NC coast for a week on Saturday, same.

But I find it hard to predict where this will go considering the storm hasn’t even formed yet!


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Yes!! Heading there also. JeremyT mentioned that earlier as well, the storm has yet to take shape.
 
Caesar said:
As someone heading to the NC coast for a week on Saturday, same.

But I find it hard to predict where this will go considering the storm hasn’t even formed yet!


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I will say if a storm does form, the EURO has done excellent the last few years with tracks. The thing I’m watching right now isn’t just whether or not a storm forms, but the strength and location of that stout Bermuda high. If it’s what the EURO was showing on the 12z run today, it’s classic set up for a storm to come to approach or come into the Carolinas before turning northeast.
 
Chazwin said:
I will say if a storm does form, the EURO has done excellent the last few years with tracks. The thing I’m watching right now isn’t just whether or not a storm forms, but the strength and location of that stout Bermuda high. If it’s what the EURO was showing on the 12z run today, it’s classic set up for a storm to come to approach or come into the Carolinas before turning northeast.
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That 12z euro was honestly best case scenario if a storm forms.


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