Henry2326
Member
Yeah I think the 18z gfs was smoking something
May have another hurricane and aiming its sights on the Southeast US over the next 7 days.
I don’t that I’m buying into this staying a fully tropical system that long.I'll believe it when I see it. I'm expecting a sloppy mess
50/80 now, should be an invest tomorrowFor the system that will cross Florida or ride the coast next week, surprised no invest yet.
1. Southwestern Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The trough is forecast to move northward over the southwestern
Atlantic by Sunday, where a broad area of low pressure is expected
to form north of Hispaniola. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be conducive for gradual development, and a subtropical or
tropical depression could form during the early part of next week
while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward over
the southwestern Atlantic. Regardless of development, there is an
increasing risk of coastal flooding, gale-force winds, heavy
rainfall, rough surf, and beach erosion along much of the
southeastern United States coast, the Florida east coast, and
portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas during the early
to middle part of next week. The disturbance is also expected to
bring locally heavy rainfall to Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands
this weekend. Interests in those areas should monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.