Tropical 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread

[Taylor C]

The process has started. Weather charts show improving conditions across the basin with less wind shear and less dry air. The GFS and CFS have picked up on the increased activity for awhile now and the CMC and EURO have started to support the forecast. The area of storms over Colombia in northern South America develop into a named system on the operational GFS and CMC model runs. Also, the eastern Atlantic into Africa activity becomes a named storm on today’s CMC, EURO, and GFS runs.

 

[Chazwin]

Just going back to Andrew for a minute.... It does go to show you how fast things can flip out there though. 4 days later it would be one of the strongest hurricanes ever to hit the US(one of only three cat 5's)View attachment 120829

Yeah I still remember tracking that storm and thinking that it looked like it was just going to fizzle out, and as soon as shearing backed off on Friday, you could tell it was probably going to be a monster.

 

[SD]

?

 

[Shaggy]

? View attachment 120832

East coast chaos would ensue.

 

[BHS1975]

U

? View attachment 120832

gfs opening the floodgates.

 

[lizajane]

Well It's got my attention. Something may very well hit us!

 

[Brent]

East coast chaos would ensue.

Imagine the media if this verified

 

[lexxnchloe]

the 0Z will be out soon. Would be a hoot if it showed nothing, lol

 

[Brent]

the 0Z will be out soon. Would be a hoot if it showed nothing, lol

Oh I'm sure we'll see some runs not show much even if this is sort of legit. We're talking 2 weeks out

 

[Snowlover87]

Oh I'm sure we'll see some runs not show much even if this is sort of legit. We're talking 2 weeks out

Do you think we could go all of August without a named storm ? I wonder if thats ever happened ?

 

[Brent]

Do you think we could go all of August without a named storm ? I wonder if thats ever happened ?

1997 during a super El Nino is the only one in the last 50 years

Shrugs. I don't understand this season at all. It makes no sense

And right on cue the 0z GFS is much weaker

 

[Shaggy]

Imagine the media if this verified View attachment 120834

I think the only thing noteworthy of course is that the agreement for development is there and that we should see a named storm with the potential for there to be a strong hurricane. Path and details beyond that are not even worth the time

 

[NoSnowATL]

 

[Brent]

View attachment 120836

Some day the 384 hour GFS will verify ?

 

[BHS1975]

View attachment 120836

That's gotta be right as they love to shoot the gap.

 

[Shaggy]

12z takeway should the the ensembles with a threatening western Atlantic look. Details will come later

 

[accu35]

Still watching the gulf next weekend

 

[Shaggy]

View attachment 120836

And 18z is over a thousand miles off this solution and is recurring between NC and Bermuda. Goes to show how much h it's gonna change IF we even get a storm

 

[smast16]

? View attachment 120832

Still wouldn't rain here.

 

[NCSNOW]

See if this sat loop will play. Id keep an eye on the sw moving spinner headed towards Bahamas. Other Gyre over near CV kinda of starting to pulse/flare. But theres really nothing to look at, latch onto. Wave coming across of Africa will move over water by mid week.

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