Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

[HDGator]

It’s not a real threat until ? logs in and tells us the trends are trending

Things are looking great in the 7 to 10 day range. i think we could see a storm pop up on the models within the next 7 days.

Does this mean it's time to start paying attention?
Complete despair to exhilarating hope ever other run.
I'm going to need some meds to keep this up.

 

[Mitch West]

The emotional weather side of me is already worried about January 3rd 2018 vibes here in Columbia. ? ?

 

[Shawn]

The Great Southeastern Snowstorm: February 9-11, 1973

www.weather.gov

 

[Tarheel1]

The Great Southeastern Snowstorm: February 9-11, 1973

www.weather.gov

What are things that will never happen again, for 2000$

 

[Tarheel1]

️View attachment 126525

Add 20 degrees to these highs and lows, per 6z GFS!

 

[Avalanche]

It’s not a real threat until ? logs in and tells us the trends are trending

This is true, and you forgot models must lose the storm first, so it can come back as we get closer to verification time.

 

[bigstick10]

definitely backing off on the cold again, per usual.

 

[RBR71]

So glad I'm off after Tuesday, got a feeling going to be some long nights of model watching leading up to Christmas Day..... can't wait! It's half the fun tbh

 

[BullCityWx]

definitely backing off on the cold again, per usual.

It’s always 25 degrees in Atlanta AT ONE PM IN THE AFTERNOON.

 

[SnowwxAtl]

View attachment 126558

It’s always 25 degrees in Atlanta AT ONE PM IN THE AFTERNOON.

I think he is referring to the 6z GFS.

 

[BullCityWx]

I think he is referring to the 6z GFS.

I mean that’s fine but ol boy is still wrong. The cold is just a little quicker.

 

[SnowwxAtl]

I mean that’s fine but ol boy is still wrong. The cold is just a little quicker.

View attachment 126560

Ooo I ain't mad at all trust me cause the ensembles said it all! At this point, I am just waiting on my Miller A storm ??? cause this type of cold needs snow asap!

 

[BullCityWx]

Ooo I ain't mad at all trust me cause the ensembles said it all! At this point, I am just waiting on my Miller A storm ??? cause this type of cold needs snow asap!

i know thats right. i think it's a matter of time but there's no guarantee.

 

[SnowwxAtl]

i know thats right. i think it's a matter of time but there's no guarantee.

I think it will come together around next Tuesday and if it was true about the less cold 6z GFS that would be good for less suppression in my eyes.

 

[Thor]

So glad I'm off after Tuesday, got a feeling going to be some long nights of model watching leading up to Christmas Day..... can't wait! It's half the fun tbh

That coastal signal seems pretty legitimate. Hopefully exciting times ahead. The opportunities to be home and enjoy watching something fall other than rain are few and far between.

 

[bigstick10]

I think he is referring to the 6z GFS.

I was, thank you..

 

[Tarheel1]

Chock full of ?

 

[NoSnowATL]

So glad I'm off after Tuesday, got a feeling going to be some long nights of model watching leading up to Christmas Day..... can't wait! It's half the fun tbh

You like cold rain too?

 

[Bham 99]

If the cold was really coming I would be seeing posts about the wooly worms and the squirrels gathering their food up for the winter like we usually see every year.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

definitely backing off on the cold again, per usual.

We have another Logan Elliot

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I'm in standby mode. Let's see where the models go today in terms of what the ensemble members are pumping out. I enjoy putting that together and want to see how the numbers look, but it does take a little time. Thanks for the feedback though. I will put those together as much as I can

Thanks a ton! I find them quite helpful to look at and maybe they called our first winter storm ??‍ who knows ??

 

[Avalanche]

We have another Logan Elliot

See Bham's post above. No wolly worms or critters calling for cold. Logical skepticism.

 

[Oconeexman]

The emotional weather side of me is already worried about January 3rd 2018 vibes here in Columbia. ? ?

Yes unfortunately I am too..that was another tough one. Got jack squat while the coast got hammered

 

[Oconeexman]

If the cold was really coming I would be seeing posts about the wooly worms and the squirrels gathering their food up for the winter like we usually see every year.

Models haven't been shown on Nature TV yet..its coming

 

[bigstick10]

We have another Logan Elliot

No man,,just being realistic..

 

[NoSnowATL]

This better?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Sick of this heat being modeled

 

[NoSnowATL]

Sick of this heat being modeled View attachment 126565

The its so cold it’s hot theory?

 

[BIG FROSTY]

It's been a raw cold soaking rain 35 degrees with winds out of the NNE. 1.56 inches of rain................. Ice not too far away from me in Va.

 

[SD]

Sick of this heat being modeled View attachment 126565

Wen shorts

 

[Tarheel1]

Sick of this heat being modeled View attachment 126565

Littlestick, that you

 

[lexxnchloe]

View attachment 126563
This better?

A little better.

 

[weatherfide]

Regardless of where our chances for snow stand, the variability in the weather so far this fall and winter is making things very interesting. From severe weather to frigid cold (maybe), it is a roller coaster! Also great to see so many A-list posters active in the main thread. I love reading the commentary from griteater, raincold, webber, etc. Fun times!

 

[weatherfide]

Wen shorts

Probably around 1/6/2023. Should be back in the low 60's by then, I think.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Roaring Gap NC. About 15 minutes North of Elkin


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Yesterday’s runs sort of feels like when everyone is on the stock forums and they’re all screaming “bullish”, then the computers dump all of the previous day’s gains in a single 1hr candle..

 

[weatherfide]

Icon is boring through 180 hours. Just dry frontal passages.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Icon is boring through 180 hours. Just dry frontal passages.

This is good

 

[griteater]

We actually did during the record breaking snowstorm in March 1927
View attachment 126572

Ollie - if you have one, can you post a loop of 500mb for that 1927 storm?....wondering if it had some wave phasing

 

[Ollie Williams]

Ollie - if you have one, can you post a loop of 500mb for that 1927 storm?....wondering if it had some wave phasing

I need to update my graphic, but here you go.