• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

Status
Not open for further replies.
Oh boy the NWS is already concerned ?

The
increasing forecast focus will be on the potential for arctic air
spilling into the western and central CONUS mid to late next week.
Guidance expectantly varies greatly at this time range but the
potential for the cold air does warrant attention.
 
Brent said:
Oh boy the NWS is already concerned ?

The
increasing forecast focus will be on the potential for arctic air
spilling into the western and central CONUS mid to late next week.
Guidance expectantly varies greatly at this time range but the
potential for the cold air does warrant attention.
Click to expand...
Your area is getting it no doubt.
 
Brent said:
Oh boy the NWS is already concerned ?

The
increasing forecast focus will be on the potential for arctic air
spilling into the western and central CONUS mid to late next week.
Guidance expectantly varies greatly at this time range but the
potential for the cold air does warrant attention.
Click to expand...
giphy-downsized-large.gif
 
Ran across this from another place about the 12z Euro... ?‍♂️

The second I saw teens in san Diego I disregarded the euro ball drop solution. We get plenty of deep tpv intrusions in the conus. Centered over the 4 corners? Lol. That happens never so we good
 
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
316 PM EST Tue Dec 13 2022

VAZ028-030-031-WVZ051>053-140400-
/O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0007.221215T0500Z-221215T2300Z/
Frederick VA-Warren-Clarke-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-
316 PM EST Tue Dec 13 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Freezing rain and sleet. Significant ice accumulation
around a quarter of an inch, with up to half an inch possible
along the ridges. Total sleet accumulations around one inch
possible.




* WHERE...Portions of northwest Virginia and panhandle West
Virginia.

* WHEN...Wintry precipitation begins as early as Wednesday
evening, then becomes more intense overnight Wednesday into
Thursday morning. Warmer air should push into the valleys by
Thursday afternoon, but freezing rain likely continues on the
ridges through through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the
ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions
will likely impact the morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation at
weather.gov/lwx/winter.

First WSW of the season for back home. Meh, ZR and sleet are sorta boring, but i think i moved 2 states too far south..LOL
 
SnowNiner said:
18z GEFS looked great. We still don't completely suck again yet.
Click to expand...
The operational euro was the only disaster at 12z, everything else was just kind of meh. We may not get the historic pattern the models were showing 36 hours ago but we are still in the game for something decent
 
SD said:
The operational euro was the only disaster at 12z, everything else was just kind of meh. We may not get the historic pattern the models were showing 36 hours ago but we are still in the game for something decent
Click to expand...
Why would we assume after a couple of runs that we wouldn’t still get a historic pattern?
 
Someone commented now is when the op gets better and ensembles worsen and it hit home. Im
Having flashbacks and not the good kind
 
Stevo24 said:
Why would we assume after a couple of runs that we wouldn’t still get a historic pattern?
Click to expand...
Bc historic patterns rarely repeat, that's why they are historic. I've learned in my time doing this that if we see epic analogs on the models we usually get the 2% milk version which isn't always a bad thing
 
SD said:
Bc historic patterns rarely repeat, that's why they are historic. I've learned in my time doing this that if we see epic analogs on the models we usually get the 2% milk version which isn't always a bad thing
Click to expand...
Actually 2% milk is easier for me to digest
 
  • Like
Reactions: SD
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top