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Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

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lexxnchloe said:
If its not going to snow this is the way to go. Did the pattern really change if it goes right back to warm in a few days?

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_64.png
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Did you really post the 384hr panel of the operational GFS and ask about a pattern change?
 
Lake Effect/Sound snow squalls..

Yes, It's happened before, barely noticeable on Radar..
Such as White Lake down here in SENC a few times..

There been a couple times, I "used" to go oystering out on Bald Head Island,, It would be snowing like a MoFo, while inland proper, Nadda..
 
DadOfJax said:
Did you really post the 384hr panel of the operational GFS and ask about a pattern change?
Click to expand...
Not sure. I recall reading sometime back in late summer this year's nina was predicting colder part of winter typically was Dec with Jan & Feb being more moderate. Not sure that's true but this may be the best we get? Hope not.
 
A potent storm system is forecast to impact the area late this week. A
light accumulation of snow will be possible Wednesday night through
Friday morning, especially across the mountains. Snowfall amounts
could be significant across the highest ridge tops and mountain
peaks above 5000 feet. Dangerous wind chills will also be possible
Thursday night through Friday and temperatures will remain cold
through the weekend.
 
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
623 AM EST Sat Dec 17 2022

Note that the latest deterministic ECMWF and
its ensembles are drier than GFS/ensembles with a progressive
frontal passage and cold air lagging behind moisture. The ECMWF
ensemble has no snow in CAE or AGS for the last few runs. High
probability of temperatures below normal through the period.
Click to expand...

Good night.
 
SENC said:
Lake Effect/Sound snow squalls..

Yes, It's happened before, barely noticeable on Radar..
Such as White Lake down here in SENC a few times..

There been a couple times, I "used" to go oystering out on Bald Head Island,, It would be snowing like a MoFo, while inland proper, Nadda..
Click to expand...
Freaking love Bald Head Island. Its like a tropical jungle, much more than just a place at the beach.
 
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